Netanyahu’s re-election chances may worsen, Hungary’s Orbán can’t return to office, China gives boost to Myanmar’s leader

US-Iran deal could spell disaster for Netanyahu

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was already struggling in polls ahead of elections later this year, but his situation might get worse after Washington and Tehran agreed to a deal (pending its signing on Friday). Why the issue with ending the war? Israel ploughed resources into the war, its people suffered regular bomb threats from Iran, and still Netanyahu didn’t achieve his war goal of regime change. Meanwhile, tensions with its allies in Washington have risen to the point where Israel hasn’t even received a copy of the US-Iran accord (the Israeli leader also rebuffed the US, pledging to keep troops in Lebanon). With Netanyahu failing to achieve his war objectives in Iran, will Israelis punish him at the polls?

Magyar moves to dismantle Orban’s legacy

The Hungarian parliament voted on Monday to limit prime ministers’ term to a maximum of eight years. This overwhelmingly passed measure will amend the constitution, and as an added plus to recently-elected Prime Minister Peter Magyar, will block the return of ousted nationalist leader Viktor Orbán who was in power uninterrupted for 16 years. The amendments will also limit Magyar’s own power as part of his campaign promises for “regime change” and a restoration of liberal democracy. These steps, along with other moves like talks of a new wealth tax, see Magyar slowly knock down Orban’s “illiberal” rule from the walls of Budapest.

Myanmar’s leader looks to Beijing to boost international recognition

Myanmar’s President and former junta leader Min Aung ⁠Hlaing is continuing his push for international legitimacy as hevisits China this week. This trip is his second international visit since he was elected president in a widely criticized election in April. Min Aung Hlain had led the country as a general since orchestrating the military’s overthrow of Myanmar’s democratic government in February 2021, which plunged the country into a civil war and drew widespread sanctions. Although his government has been largely isolated on the global stage, China has remained a crucial lifeline driven in part by its own strategicinterests – China has an oil pipeline and deepwater port that runs through rebel controlled Rakhine State. Min Aung Hlaing also traveled to neighboring India earlier this month, underscoring his broader effort to strengthen ties with great powers wherever possible.