What We’re Watching: US and Iran near mini-deal, Europe election extravaganza, Diss tracks at Eurovision

US President Donald Trump on the cover of a newspaper in Tehran, Iran, on May 11, 2025.
An Iranian newspaper with a cover photo of US President Donald Trump and US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, is seen in Tehran, Iran, on May 11, 2025.
Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS

US and Iran edge toward “mini-deal” on nukes

US President Donald Trump said Thursday that the US and Iran have “sort of” agreed on terms for a nuclear deal, one day after a top Iranian adviser said Tehran is willing to eliminate weapons-grade uranium, limit enrichment, and allow international inspections — if sanctions are lifted immediately. But dismantling their nuclear program or ability to enrich uranium, as per the Iran nuclear deal negotiated in 2015, is off the table.

“While a full-scale deal like the [2015 deal] appears unlikely, both sides are showing interest in a limited ‘mini-deal’ that reduces tensions and creates more space for diplomacy,” says Eurasia Group Iran expert Gregory Brew. “A win for Trump and for his new friends in the Gulf.”

Election extravaganza: Big weekend for Europe

There will be a trio of elections on the continent this Sunday. Here’s a quick roundup of who’s voting and where.

Poland: The first round of the presidential election takes place this weekend, pitting Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, a centrist, against the right-wing Law and Justice leader Karol Nawrocki. The election will be a harbinger of Poland’s alignment with the European Union at a vital time for the bloc. Polls have Trzaskowski ahead, but well short of 50%, which means there will likely be a runoff between the two front-runners on June 1.

Portugal: The Iberian nation is holding its third election in as many years, leaving some of the electorate fed up with its stagnant government. Polls suggest the situation isn’t about to get better: Prime Minister Luis Montenegro’s center-right Democratic Alliance is ahead but doesn’t have enough support to gain a working majority.

Romania: Of all the elections this weekend, it’s the one in Bucharest that is garnering the most attention, after the Romanian Constitutional Court barred nationalist candidate Călin Georgescu from running over allegations of Russian meddling. George Simion has filled Georgescu’s shoes and will seek to triumph over the pro-EU candidate Nicusor Dan. With polls tied, the race is on a knife-edge.

At Eurovision 2025: Glitter, geopolitics, and a sauna diss track

Europe’s glitter-soaked, pyrotechnic-powered music competition fever dream — otherwise known as the Eurovision Song Contest — takes place Saturday at 9 p.m. CET (3 p.m. ET). It’s part talent show, part geopolitical popularity contest, and fully unhinged fun.

Unlike in the past two years, politics is taking a relative back seat this time around. However, there are two diss tracks. Sweden’s “Bara Bada Bastu” — the odds-on favorite — roasts Finland’s love of saunas, while Estonia’s viral “Espresso Macchiato” mocks Italian language and American work culture. Mamma mia!

More from GZERO Media

KAJ performing Bara Bada Bastu for Sweden at the First Semi-Final in St. Jakobshalle
EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett

Europe’s glitter-soaked, pyrotechnic-powered, music competition fever dream – otherwise known as the Eurovision Song Contest – takes place Saturday in Basel, Switzerland at 9pm CEST (3pm ET). It’s part talent show, part geopolitical popularity contest, and fully unhinged fun.

EU leaders visit Kyiv
Kyodo via Reuters

For decades, French governments have talked up the value of “Collective European Defense,” an alliance fully invested in Europe’s security outside of NATO. For decades, the point was academic, because Germany and Britain valued the transatlantic relationship too highly to take steps that might discourage US commitment.

An activist in Alberta holds a placard as Alberta sovereigntists and supporters gather outside the Alberta Legislature for the Rally for Alberta Independence, in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, on May 3, 2025.
Artur Widak/NurPhoto

Secession is a long shot, but even raising the issue could roil politics in the province and nationally.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoǧan and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attend a meeting at the Presidential Palace in Ankara, Turkey, on May 15, 2025.
REUTERS

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky kept a low-level Russian delegation waiting in Istanbul on Thursday while he met with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoǧan in Ankara.

An American flag flutters over a ship and shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles, in San Pedro California, U.S., May 13, 2025.
REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

Donald Trump’s supporters like to tout his 1987 book, The Art of the Deal, when they discuss his trade gamesmanship, but, a month after “Liberation Day,” it is getting harder for them to convince skeptical Americans that he is winning more than they are losing.

Annie Gugliotta

US inflation rates have finally started to relax over the past 12 months: Prices rose at an annual rate of 2.3% in April, within touching distance of the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. This chart shows what product categories fed the inflation surge in 2022 — and its subsequent slowdown.