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U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin III at the military camp in Quezon City, Metro Manila, Philippines.

Reuters

Don't buy hype about the US military in the Philippines to counter China

The Philippine decision to grant the US military access to four more military bases in the country has gotten a lot of buzz that it’s a major move against China. For sure, the archipelago is the closest US ally to Taiwan and the disputed South China Sea – Beijing claims sovereignty over both. But while Xi Jinping is surely not happy about America getting additional places in Southeast Asia to host its troops, the move is no game changer in US efforts to better patrol the region or — yikes — respond to an eventual Chinese attack on Taiwan. Why? For one thing, the US military only really needs to use two old American bases north of Manila because they are both very big and close enough to the action. What’s more, the other sites are either too small or still under construction. There is, however, an interesting domestic political angle. President Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr., aware that most Filipinos have soured on China over its actions in the South China Sea, wants to show his people that he won't be as chummy with Xi as his predecessor, Rodrigo Duterte. At the same time, Bongbong also knows that the Philippine economy is so dependent on trade with China and that his military is so weak that he can't afford to push Beijing too hard. If he's not forced to pick a side, he'll continue to play both — taking a page from his dictator dad’s old playbook.
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It's been nearly a year since Russia began its invasion of Ukraine, which has caused enormous suffering and setbacks around the world. What can we expect next for Ukraine, Europe, and the world?

Live from the Munich Security Conference on Friday, February 17th, at 11 am ET / 5 pm CET, our next Global Stage livestream conversation focuses on the current state of the Ukraine conflict and the road ahead. Ian Bremmer, President and Founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, and Brad Smith, Vice Chair and President of Microsoft, will be joined by experts from politics, the private sector, and international organizations to discuss the economic and humanitarian crises created by the war, the role of technology in the conflict, and the impact of foreign influence operations so far.

Live from Munich: Ukraine and the "Global Turning Point"

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Romney: “We’re Not as a Militarily Ready As We Would Like to See in the Pacific” | GZERO World

As the US military bolsters its presence in the Pacific with a new military base – its first in 70 years – on the island of Guam, Utah Senator Mitt Romney gets candid with Ian Bremmer in an exclusive GZERO World interview.

"We have to be careful not to provoke China at a time when Taiwan is not as militarily ready as we might like to see," Romney tells Ian from his Senate office in Washington.

"And frankly, we're not as militarily ready as we would like to see in the Pacific. Our Navy is smaller than it should be. Some of our systems are not up to date."

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Let’s Back Spirit of “We’re in This Together” — UN Foundation Chief | GZERO World

Global development has been going backwards since even before the pandemic, and there's no end in sight.

Extreme poverty is now rising again, and fraught politics at every level is making it harder to fight inequality around the world.

But it's not an irreversible trend, UN Foundation President Elizabeth Cousens tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.

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Dream: in Cuban. “We’re all tied to the past by flukes,” muses one of the voices at the end of the novel “Dreaming in Cuban,” a lushly written, quasi-magical account of how the Cuban Revolution ripples through the lives of three generations of women in a Cuban family, between Havana and Brooklyn. Ambivalent exile, fickle memory, troubled romance, and the ghosts of the dead walking among the living — author Cristina García’s acclaimed 1993 debut has it all. Plus, if you read it now you’ll be ready for the long-awaited sequel, which drops in July. - Alex

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Russia's Resilient Economy Won't Fall Apart Anytime Soon | World In :60 | GZERO Media

Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60.

How badly has the Russian economy been affected from the war in Ukraine?

Well, I mean, badly in the sense that half of Russian military capabilities, uh, in terms of things like ammunition and ballistic missiles and, you know, even standing army that's capable has been chewed up by a year of war. So Russia is gonna have to now rebuild that, and that does mean that their exports to other countries, they were the second largest defense export in the world, is gonna seriously take a hit. But near-term, less than 4% GDP contraction in 2022, which means that Russia's position of having all of these critical resources that everyone else in the world still really needs gives them a lot of resilience in terms of their economy. They're not gonna fall apart any time soon.

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“GZERO World with Ian Bremmer” Season 5 Highlights So Far | GZERO World

“GZERO World with Ian Bremmer,” our weekly global affairs program, is now in its fifth season on US public television. Over the past five years, the program has brought you interviews with heads of state, newsmakers, and leaders of industry. Our mission is to help you make sense of the world and the people and events shaping politics today, and there’s no better place to do that than on public television. For two decades, PBS has been named the most trusted brand in US television.

Here are some highlights from recent interviews, stories from the field, and, of course, Puppet Regime. Be sure to check out Ian’s interview with Utah Sen. Mitt Romney, which begins airing this Friday, Feb. 3, all over the US. Check your local listings for our program schedule.

Ian Explains: Our Unsustainably Unequal World | GZERO World

The past is still very much with us.

It's almost the first anniversary of Russia's war in Ukraine. On March 11, it'll be three years since the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic. And 2022 was the sixth warmest year on record since ... 1880.

We are still dealing with the fallout from all three events. But not equally.

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