What We're Watching

Scalise quits. Now what?

Representative Steve Scalise (R-LA), the House Majority Leader, speaks to media after a House Republican Conference meeting, at the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, October 12, 2023.
Representative Steve Scalise (R-LA), the House Majority Leader, speaks to media after a House Republican Conference meeting, at the U.S. Capitol, in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, October 12, 2023.
Graeme Sloan/Sipa USA via Reuters

Though Steve Scalise of Louisiana managed to win enough secret-ballot votes from fellow House Republicans on Wednesday to become the party’s nominee for House speaker, it became clear within hours that he didn’t have enough support to win the job in a vote of the full House. No Democrat would vote for him, and the GOP majority is so thin that no Republican can win if just four fellow Republicans refuse to back him.

Following a Thursday afternoon meeting of Republicans hoping to break the deadlock and unite behind Scalise, Ronny Jackson of Texas, referencing the traditional sign that cardinals have agreed on a new pope, told reporters that “If you see smoke, it’s not a speaker, someone just set the place on fire.”

Then, on Thursday night, Scalise accepted the inevitable and withdrew from the race. There is no alternative candidate who can quickly unify Republican members.

The need to respond to the crisis in Israel and to bargain with Democrats in advance of another threatened government shutdown next month has reignited talk that Patrick McHenry of North Carolina, now acting as temporary speaker, will be given the job for some temporary period (perhaps one to three months) while Republicans try yet again to work out their differences.

Yet, Scalise’s inability to secure GOP unity at this critical moment signals that whoever eventually wins the job on a permanent basis will inherit an authority that remains subject to the whims of those who would rather defy their own party leaders than advance legislation.

Meanwhile, policymakers in other governments, watching this continuing spectacle, will decide for themselves whether the United States remains a reliable ally.

More For You

Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with journalists to comment on new U.S. sanctions targeting two major Russia's oil producers, as well as other international issues, in Moscow, Russia, October 23, 2025.
Sputnik/Alexander Shcherbak/Pool via REUTERS

The US has paused Russian oil sanctions in a bid to stabilize energy markets rocked by the war with Iran. Administration officials stress that it’s a “tailored” measure, applying only to oil already loaded onto tankers, but it’s still a gift to Russia, which has already been clocking an extra $150 million daily in oil revenues since the war began.

A Boeing C-135 Stratotanker / Stratolifter military aircraft known as KC-135 of the United States Air Force USAF configured as Air Tanker Transport for aerial refueling, powered by 4x CFMI jet engines and tail number 63-8003. The military plane spotted flying over the Netherlands in the blue sky from Mainland USA to Tel Aviv TLV to support the Israel USA - Iran war known as Operation Epic Fury by the US Department of Defense. Venlo, the Netherlands on March 2, 2026
Photo by Nicolas Economou/NurPhoto

4: The number of crew members aboard a US refuelling plane – out of six total – who died after the aircraft crashed in neighboring Iraq on Thursday, US Central Command said this morning.