What We're Watching

Coalition bust-up over VAT in South Africa?

​South African president Cyril Ramaphosa takes the national salute below a statue of former president Nelson Mandela at the Cape Town City Hall, ahead of his State Of The Nation (SONA) address in Cape Town, South Africa February 6, 2025.
South African president Cyril Ramaphosa takes the national salute below a statue of former president Nelson Mandela at the Cape Town City Hall, ahead of his State Of The Nation (SONA) address in Cape Town, South Africa February 6, 2025.
REUTERS/Nic Bothma

South Africa’s ruling coalition, made up primarily of the African National Congress and the Democratic Alliance, is showing signs of a possible crack in its government of national unity.

The two parties have been rivals in the past but agreed to work together following elections last May. They have exceeded expectations for how long the coalition could last, but challenges remain, and the DA has proven the weaker partner, with its policy proposals often ignored.

A fight flared between the parties on Wednesday over the ANC’s budgetary proposal to boost the value-added tax, or VAT, by 2%. If it passed, it would take VAT up to 17% on a broad variety of goods, services, and transactions, with exceptions for necessities like basic foodstuffs. The VAT increase was supposed to help fund improvements in security services, infrastructure, health care, and education programs.

But Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana delayed the budget presentation on Wednesday as a result of the squabble, making this year the first time the government won’t present its budget to parliament in February. Coalition leaders must now discuss adjustments before the rescheduled presentation on March 12 — and before the country’s fiscal year starts on April 1. But the delay does mark a win for the DA, showing it can hold its own against the more dominant ANC, even if it doesn’t yet have a viable alternative budget proposal.

While this may be a strong showing for the DA, Eurasia Group’s Amaka Anku says that none of the parties actually want the VAT.

“The ANC is really committed to projecting a sense of unity in the coalition and national government, of national unity, and not making this about ANC and the DA,” she says. Still, a tax increase in some form is likely to come since there’s no clear alternative for raising revenue.

More For You

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, with President of the European Council António Luís Santos da Costa, and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, at Hyderabad House, in New Delhi, India, on Jan. 27, 2026.

DPR PMO/ANI Photo

On Tuesday, the world’s largest single market and the world’s most populous country cinched a deal that will slash or reduce tariffs on the vast majority of the products they trade.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo stands alongside Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and US President Donald Trump during the 2026 World Cup draw at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts in Washington, D.C., on December 5, 2025.
Deccio Serrano/NurPhoto

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has repeatedly tussled with US President Donald Trump, whereas Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has tried to placate him. The discrepancy raises questions about the best way to approach the US leader.

Fighters of the Qassam Brigades, the armed wing of the Palestinian Islamist Hamas movement, attend a rally marking the 35th anniversary of the group's foundation in Gaza City on December 14, 2022.
Photo by Majdi Fathi/NurPhoto

10,000: The number of Hamas officers that the militant group reportedly wants to incorporate into the US-backed Palestinian administration for Gaza, in the form of a police force.

Walmart is investing $350 billion in US manufacturing. Over two-thirds of the products Walmart buys are made, grown, or assembled in America, like healthy dried fruit from The Ugly Co. The sustainable fruit is sourced directly from fourth-generation farmers in Farmersville, California, and delivered to your neighborhood Walmart shelves. Discover how Walmart's investment is supporting communities and fueling jobs across the nation.