What We're Watching
Companies respond to Trump’s trade crackdown
Two DHL delivery vans deliver parcels in Maximilianstrasse in Munich, Germany, on Feb. 20, 2025.
Michael Nguyen/NurPhoto via Reuters
The ripple effects of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies continue to impact global supply chains. On Saturday, transport company DHL announced it would suspend international shipments over $800 to American consumers, citing that new tariff rules had overwhelmed its processing systems. Automaker Ford said it was “adjusting” its exports of vehicles like the F-150 Raptor, Lincoln Navigator, and Mustang to China, due to the impact of tariffs. And China’s Xiamen Airline reportedly returned a Boeing 737 MAX, freshly painted in company colors – the latest casualty of that country’s ongoing trade war with the US.
Other countries are opting for negotiation over retaliation. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni visited Washington on Friday hoping to talk EU trade with Trump, but found the US President was “in no rush” to strike a deal. This week, South Korea will enter into tariff talks, hoping to avert the 25% reciprocal tariff Trump announced, and then paused, in early April.
What else is expected in the next few days? On Tuesday, the IMF is set to release global growth forecasts – and is expected to both lower expectations for growth in tariffed countries while raising expectations for inflation. A day later, coordinated purchasing manager indexes from most major economies will be released, offering a first look at the early impacts of tariffs and trade threats on economic activity.In this "ask ian," Ian Bremmer breaks down the rapidly unraveling situation following the US announcement of “Project Freedom” and why tensions with Iran are escalating again.
Will Japan rewrite its rules of war? Europe meets (again) to shape its own defense destiny, US to “guide” ships through Hormuz
Putin is increasingly paranoid, according to a Financial Times report out today. Security has been tightened, more time is being spent in underground bunkers, and the vast majority of his attention is being absorbed by Russia’s war with Ukraine. One reason of his concern is said to be Ukraine’s drone capabilities, which have demonstrated an ability to strike Russian airfields thousands of miles from Kyiv.
There are signs AI could ripple through the economy much faster than past innovations. At the 2026 World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings, GZERO’s Tony Maciulis asked Microsoft's Vickie Robinson what it will take to prepare economies for the age of AI and how quickly it needs to happen.