Demand For Radical Change

Willis' big story of 2018: "Throw the bums out."

  • Germany struggled to form a government as support for its dominant parties continued to slide, and then the ruling party nudged Chancellor Angela Merkel toward the exit.
  • Pakistan pushed aside the Bhutto and Sharif political dynasties to elect a charismatic former cricketer leading his own party.
  • Sweden's dominant center-left party drew its lowest vote share in 100 years. Three months after elections, Sweden closes 2018 without a government.

There's nothing new about incumbents losing elections, and the sources of anger that prompt demands for change vary widely from one place to another. But 2018 saw establishment parties of all kinds, entrenched for decades, tossed off a cliff in favor of wildcard candidates.

His big question for 2019: What happens if leaders elected to bring sweeping change fail to deliver?

France had no national elections this year, but the reformist President Emmanuel Macron's 23 percent approval rating and recent nationwide protests signal the French public isn't happy with the country's direction. The upheaval began with an announced increase in fuel taxes, but fast-expanding demonstrations quickly exposed broader grievances.

Just as Britain's leaders struggle to deliver Brexit and Donald Trump's approval ratings stand at 38 percent, those elected this year on extravagant promises of change face formidable odds against delivering anytime soon. We've learned over the past decade that public protests and their impact are nearly impossible to forecast. What begins as anger over bus fare increases in Sao Paulo or commercial real estate development in Istanbul or land requisition outside Addis Ababa can quickly form the eye of a powerful political storm.

Change will always be easier to promise than to deliver, and public anger may continue to build.

More from GZERO Media

Leaders of Israel and Iran in front of fighter jets.
Jess Frampton

On April 13, Iran launched hundreds of drones and missiles from its own territory in its first-ever direct, attributable attack against Israel, thrusting the long-simmering shadow war between the two regional foes into the light.

Bharatiya Janata Party supporters hold party flags while waiting for Narendra Modi's road show during an election campaign in Guwahati, Assam, India, on April 16, 2024.
David Talukdar/NurPhoto via Reuters

The world’s most populous country will hold elections between April 19 and 1 June for its lower house of parliament, the Lok Sabha. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, one of the world’s most popular heads of state, is expected to lead his Bharatiya Janata Party to a comfortable victory and secure a third consecutive term in office. We sat down with Eurasia Group experts Rahul Bhatia and Pramit Pal Chaudhuri to learn more about the upcoming elections.

Elon Musk, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla and owner of X, formerly known as Twitter, attends the Viva Technology conference dedicated to innovation and startups at the Porte de Versailles exhibition centre in Paris, France, June 16, 2023.
REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes

150: American History X? A study by NBC found that at least 150 openly pro-Nazi premium accounts are active on the social media platform (formerly known as Twitter.)

Croatian Prime Minister and Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) party chief Andrej Plenkovic attends an election rally in Zagreb, Croatia, April 14, 2024.
REUTERS/Antonio Bronic

Croatians vote on Wednesday in one of the most contentious parliamentary elections that the Balkan country, an EU member, has seen in years – and Russia is at the heart of the kerfuffle.

Israeli soldiers stand next to military vehicles, near the Israel-Gaza border, amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Israel, April 15, 2024.
REUTERS/Amir Cohen

Countries in the region are raising the alarm about a lack of focus on Gaza in the wake of Iran’s attack.

Iran attack doesn't open diplomatic door for Israel | Ian Bremmer | World In :60

Does the Iran-Israel crisis offer a unique opportunity for diplomacy? Is Germany's Scholz meeting with Xi in Beijing indicating a shift in Europe-China trade tensions? Why is Sudan's year-long conflict gone largely unnoticed? Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60.

Supporters of former deputy speaker Namson Tran cheer and wave in the capital Honiara, Solomon Islands, Monday, April 15, 2024. Solomon Islanders are set to go to the polls on April 17
. (AAP Image/Mick Tsikas)

Voters in the Solomon Islands will vote in a parliamentary election on Wednesday that has repercussions for the Asia Pacific region due to the country’s close relationship with China.