Brazil's election signals a rightward shift across Latin America
October 05, 2026
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Quick Take
Ian Bremmer, political scientist and president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, shares insights on global political events.
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In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer breaks down Brazil's first-round election results and what they mean for the country's runoff.
Flávio Bolsonaro outperformed polls in Brazil's first round, and with third-party, right-leaning candidates out of the race, their votes are likely to shift his way. That makes a second-round win difficult for President Lula, who faces anger over corruption, a Supreme Court scandal and a weak economy.
Ian explains how Brazil's shift fits a broader pattern across Latin America, where Argentina, Peru, Chile and Colombia have all moved toward center-right or right-wing governance in recent years, driven mainly by security and affordability concerns rather than US politics.
He also looks at what a Bolsonaro win could mean for US-Brazil relations, including closer cooperation on critical minerals, technology and the Homeland Security-led Shield of the Americas initiative.
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