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Brazil’s Lula expands lead after Bolsonaro corruption scandal
Hard Numbers

Brazil’s Lula expands lead after Bolsonaro corruption scandal

The new polling released on Wednesday shows Lula widening his lead over the senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

A young girl overlooking the logo of the Cockroach Janata Party on a television
What We're Watching

India’s Gen Z “cockroach” movement runs wild, Netanyahu orders wider Israeli control of Gaza, Brazilian crime orgs seek drone expertise from Ukraine

India's Gen Z have spawned a political protest movement, the Cockroach Janta Party, named after an official's dismissive remark about unemployed youth, amassing millions of Instagram followers and over a million registered members.

French President Macron shaking hand with Norway's Prime Minister of the Kingdom Jonas Gahr Støre
What We're Watching

France to extend its nuclear umbrella to Norway, Brazil to cut work week, Japan bids to boost ties with the Philippines

French President Macron extended France's nuclear umbrella to Norway this week, as Western Europe increasingly looks to Paris for security guarantees amid growing doubts about the US commitment to NATO.

Iranian President Pezeshkian and Acting Minister of Defense Brigadier General Ebn-e-Reza during a meeting in Tehran.
What We're Watching

US strikes on Iran won’t stop negotiations, Brazil’s scandal-plagued Bolsonaro seeks Trump boost, Hong Kong becomes leading hub for offshore funds

US-Iran negotiations remain on a knife-edge, with Trump claiming a deal is "largely negotiated" even as military skirmishes in the Strait of Hormuz and Israel's strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon continue to complicate talks.

​US President Donald Trump and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva meet on the sidelines of the 47th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, October 26, 2025.
What We're Watching

Trump-Lula meeting today, UK local elections testing Starmer’s leadership, New generation of African leaders step into the spotlight

Trump hosts Brazil’s Lula at White House today, Britons go to the polls, Morocco’s young prince steps into the spotlight

​A crowd celebrates after a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel went into effect, in Sidon, Lebanon, on April 17, 2026.
What We're Watching

US-Iran ceasefire talks gain steam, Leading leftists meet in Barcelona, The EU may have a new Russia ally

The 10-day ceasefire negotiated between Israel and Lebanon took effect last night – one that the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah acknowledged but hasn’t said whether they’d abide by – has added some momentum to the US-Iran ceasefire talks.

Indra Brown of Australia during the women's skiing halfpipe final at the Milano Cortina 2026 Olympic Winter Games on Feb. 22, 2026.
Hard Numbers

Winter Olympics a winner on the small screen, Blizzard hits parts of US, Brazil and China are the apparent winners of US tariff upheaval, Armed man tries to enter Mar-a-Lago

Supreme Court blocks Trump’s tariff power
Quick Take

Supreme Court blocks Trump’s tariff power

The Supreme Court has struck down President Trump’s use of the national emergency clause to impose sweeping tariffs around the world. In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer explains why this ruling was predictable and why it’s a major setback for Trump’s trade strategy.

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Brasilia, Brazil, on December 19, 2025.​
Analysis

Post-Bolsonaro, who will lead Brazil’s right?

Three years ago today, supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress and other buildings in Brasília. With Bolsonaro in jail, though, and the election coming in October, his successor as leader of Brazil’s right is unclear.

Trump’s “Eff around and find out” world
GZERO Live

Trump’s “Eff around and find out” world

Is US power becoming more unpredictable and more damaging on the world stage? In GZERO’s 2026 Top Risks livestream, Ian Bremmer describes global politics under Donald Trump as a spectrum ranging from “FAFO” to “TACO.”