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Brazilian Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, who is to be announced as candidate for Brazil's presidential elections, attends the national convention of the Liberal Party (PL)
What We're Watching

Bolsonaro searches for a partner, US shutters missions overseas, Tensions rising in Ethiopia

Brazilian presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro has until tomorrow to find a VP candidate

Migrants from Morocco gather by the border fence as they cross the Spanish border
Israel

Migration chaos for Spain, Hamas agrees to a deal (in principle), More father-son drama in Brazilian election

As many as 60,000 migrants from Morocco crossed into the Spanish exclave city of Ceuta yesterday in a chaotic rush that left 34 people dead

People chant slogans as they walk during a protest and shutter-down strike called by the banned Joint Awami Action Committee (JAAC), an alliance of civil society groups, in Neelum Valley, Pakistani Kashmir.
What We're Watching

Tense elections in Kashmir, Netanyahu and Zelensky at the White House, AI-Bolsonaro turning heads in Brazil

Regional parliamentary elections began in the Pakistan-administered portion of Kashmir on Monday, but the first round of voting has been racked with violence.

Brazil’s Lula expands lead after Bolsonaro corruption scandal
Hard Numbers

Brazil’s Lula expands lead after Bolsonaro corruption scandal

The new polling released on Wednesday shows Lula widening his lead over the senator and son of former President Jair Bolsonaro.

Iranian President Pezeshkian and Acting Minister of Defense Brigadier General Ebn-e-Reza during a meeting in Tehran.
What We're Watching

US strikes on Iran won’t stop negotiations, Brazil’s scandal-plagued Bolsonaro seeks Trump boost, Hong Kong becomes leading hub for offshore funds

US-Iran negotiations remain on a knife-edge, with Trump claiming a deal is "largely negotiated" even as military skirmishes in the Strait of Hormuz and Israel's strikes on Hezbollah-controlled Lebanon continue to complicate talks.

Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro, in Brasilia, Brazil, on December 19, 2025.​
Analysis

Post-Bolsonaro, who will lead Brazil’s right?

Three years ago today, supporters of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro stormed Congress and other buildings in Brasília. With Bolsonaro in jail, though, and the election coming in October, his successor as leader of Brazil’s right is unclear.

​A Boeing 737 Max 8 with Afghans on board lands at Berlin Brandenburg Airport (BER) on December 16, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Germany clears path for Afghan refugees, China’s population predicted to plummet, Brazil’s Congress seeks to cut Bolsonaro’s sentence, Nigeria appeals DRC’s World Cup eligibility

​US President Donald Trump, King Charles III, First Lady Melania Trump and Queen Camilla at Windsor Castle, United Kingdom, on September 17, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Trump’s UK state visit begins, Brazil court fines Bolsonaro for racist comment, Ecuadorians protest new gold mine, & More

Brazil sentences Bolsonaro: What it means for democracy and US-Brazil relations
ask ian

Brazil sentences Bolsonaro: What it means for democracy and US-Brazil relations

Brazil’s Supreme Court has sentenced former President Jair Bolsonaro to 27 years in prison for plotting to overturn the 2022 election and allegedly conspiring to assassinate President Lula. In this week's "ask ian," Ian Bremmer says the verdict highlights how “your response… has nothing to do with rule of law. It has everything to do with tribal political affiliation.”

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi gestures during a joint press conference with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 13, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We're Watching: Modi defies Trump on Russian oil, Bolsonaro put under house arrest, Israel proposes full occupation of Gaza