VIDEOSGZERO World with Ian BremmerQuick TakePUPPET REGIMEIan ExplainsGZERO ReportsAsk IanGlobal Stage
Site Navigation
Search
Human content,
AI powered search.
Latest Stories
Start your day right!
Get latest updates and insights delivered to your inbox.
Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60.
What is Trump's long-term play with apparently treating Putin like a friend rather than an adversary?
His play is to end the war in Ukraine. His play is to be seen as a great deal-maker and also a return to what we call the law of the jungle, where the most powerful countries are the ones that deserve to be at the table, and if you're not at the table you're being served for dinner. That is where I think we're going. I don't think that Secretary of State Marco Rubio wanted to be there, but he's much more... He's going to be loyal, and I think the Republican senators have pushed back hard on Gaza but not so much on this. We'll see. Certainly from Riyadh, from what we've heard from Elon, what we've heard from Trump, they are working very hard to get a full reconciliation between the United States and Russia, between Trump and Putin, irrespective of what the Europeans have to say about it. And the Ukrainians are going to be pressed very, very hard to accept the deal or be left all by themselves. We'll see how the Europeans and the Ukrainians play it, but that is what they're looking at.
How likely would the release of all remaining captives, as proposed by Hamas, actually lead to a permanent truce with Israel?
Well permanent truce with Israel implies you can agree on what governance in Gaza is going to look like. The Israelis, of course, refuse to accept a state for the Palestinians. The Israelis refuse not only for Hamas to participate in any government, not surprisingly. But, of course, also the Palestinian authority participate in government. That's very different from what the Gulf states, what the Egyptians, what the Jordanians, all America's allies, are planning to propose for Gaza. I think we can get an extended ceasefire. That ceasefire might last essentially permanently, but the Israelis would still have a buffer zone, you wouldn't be heading towards statehood, and the Israelis would reserve the right to continue to engage in selected strikes if they see targets of opportunity that they consider to be militants working with for Hamas. So that's where I think we are, but very unlikely at this point that I think you'll see a restart of the war that has been lasting for well over a year at this point. I think full-blown military incursion on the ground is now on the rear-view mirror.
Does Bolsonaro's indictment for an alleged coup plot signal tough times ahead for Brazil?
I think it does. It's very likely that Bolsonaro is going to end up imprisoned. That case is going to take a while to work through the courts. Probably won't be resolved until 2026 with all the appeals that will end up happening, but he won't be able to run again. Now you can still announce you're going to run and then pull out your candidacy at the last minute like Lula did, who served time in jail himself in the past, so this isn't completely new uncharted territory for the Brazilians. But keep in mind that if Bolsonaro is refused to be allowed to run, he is completely supported by Trump. He's completely supported by Elon Musk, and that will get stronger. The Supreme Court in Brazil is politicized and is also seen by Trump and Musk as root of all evil in Brazil, so they'll be going after that. And will that be tied to tougher tariffs on Brazil? I expect it will. So, I think Brazil is going to be in a lot of trouble here, and I think that their economy is probably going to take a hit on the back of what we're going to see politically inside Brazil and the nature of the relations with the United States. Okay, that's it for me, and I'll talk to you all real soon.
Keep reading...Show less
More from ask ian
Trump, loyalty, and the limits of accountability
December 16, 2025
Notre Dame, politics, and playing by their own rules
December 08, 2025
Trump threatens regime change in Venezuela
December 02, 2025
Is Trump’s trade strategy backfiring abroad?
November 25, 2025
Ian stands in line for a bagel, the internet melts down
November 21, 2025
Could Trump have handled the Epstein issue any worse?
November 17, 2025
Democrats divided over government shutdown deal
November 11, 2025
Zohran Mamdani and America's political future
November 04, 2025
Trump, Xi, and the new US–China standoff
October 14, 2025
US-China AI race: Dueling strategies and potential risks
October 07, 2025
Trump shifts on Russia: From carrots to sticks in Ukraine war
September 30, 2025
Trump’s UN speech: Sovereignty, security, and ending wars
September 23, 2025
Israel attacks and targets Hamas leadership in Qatar
September 10, 2025
US strike on vessel from Venezuela
September 03, 2025
Trump pulls US out of UNESCO, again
July 22, 2025
Trump announces new plan to arm Ukraine
July 15, 2025
Are NATO allies aligned on Iran?
June 24, 2025
Will Iran’s regime survive?
June 18, 2025
Trump-Musk rift over Trump's "big, beautiful bill"
June 04, 2025
What is Trump after in his latest Gulf states tour?
May 13, 2025
Why Mark Carney’s victory won’t heal the US-Canada rift
April 29, 2025
Trump tariff is starting a US-China trade war
April 08, 2025
What if Japan & South Korea sided with China on US tariffs?
April 01, 2025
US travel warnings issued by its closest allies
March 25, 2025
US-Canada trade war helps Mark Carney's election prospects
March 11, 2025
Why Trump won’t break the Putin-Xi alliance
March 04, 2025
Putin trolls Europe about "the master" Trump
February 04, 2025
DeepSeek puts US-China relations on edge
January 30, 2025
Gaza ceasefire likely as Biden and Trump both push
January 14, 2025
Meta scraps fact-checking program: What next?
January 07, 2025
GZERO Series
GZERO Daily: our free newsletter about global politics
Keep up with what’s going on around the world - and why it matters.













































