The rogue Russian risk: will war in Ukraine ever end?
Vladimir Putin definitely did not have a good 2022. Will he be in trouble this year?
Not in the short to medium term, says Eurasia Group Chairman Cliff Kupchan. But that doesn't mean he's completely off the hook.
Putin should watch his back from the siloviki, the men in the security services.
Meanwhile, Kupchan plays down the odds that Belarus will enter the war in Ukraine, which he doesn't see ending anytime soon.