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The Rogue Russian Risk: Will War in Ukraine Ever End? | Top Risks 2023 | GZERO Media

The rogue Russian risk: will war in Ukraine ever end?

Vladimir Putin definitely did not have a good 2022. Will he be in trouble this year?

Not in the short to medium term, says Eurasia Group Chairman Cliff Kupchan. But that doesn't mean he's completely off the hook.

Putin should watch his back from the siloviki, the men in the security services.

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Ukraine's President Zelenskiy visits Ukrainian service members in Bakhmut, Ukraine.

Reuters

Three hundred days of war in Ukraine

Tuesday marked 300 days since the start of Russia’s attempted obliteration of Ukraine. For almost a year now, war has tormented the Ukrainian people, though their resolve remains unshaken.

The spectacular failings of Russia’s military endeavors over the past 11 months have been well documented. Still, the winter months will bring unprecedented challenges for Ukraine as temperatures and morale plunge.

In a sign that Kyiv is doubling down on efforts to secure more support ahead of a grueling winter, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will reportedly arrive on Wednesday in Washington, DC – his first time leaving Ukraine since the war began. The Ukrainian president will meet President Joe Biden at the White House and address a joint session of Congress, where he'll likely thank them for the US' ongoing support and request that the funds keep on coming.

Here are three of the biggest challenges facing Ukraine in the months ahead.

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Will the DOJ Hold Trump Responsible For Jan. 6? | World in :60 | GZERO Media

Will the DOJ hold Trump responsible for Jan. 6?

Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60.

Now that Congress recommends charges against Trump, will the DOJ take action?

Increasingly, the answer appears to be yes, especially now that the attorney general has a special counsel on the case, and he has recused himself, that makes it a lot easier to proceed with charges. This is unprecedented territory. We've never seen a Congress actually refer criminal charges of a former president before. But of course, former President Trump was also pretty unique historically for the United States. Either way, he's considerably damaged much more so than he was after January 6th. You remember then Kevin McCarthy went down and was kissing the ring in Mar-a-Lago within a few days, that's not happening this time around. So it's a much bigger hole for him to dig himself out of, even though he's ostensibly running for the presidency already, we don't see much of that yet.

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Status of Transatlantic Relationship | Europe In :60 | GZERO Media

Putin aims to draw Belarus into Ukraine war

Carl Bildt, former prime minister of Sweden, shares his perspective on European politics.

What's the mood in the transatlantic relationship?

Well, not bad. Certainly not, but not as good as it should be. There's been or there is a substantial European irritation with a very high level of subsidies that is given to industries in the US, excluding European deliveries of electric vehicles and energy investments and things like that. And that is causing a somewhat of a mini crisis that I hope will be resolved in the next few months. Let's hope for the best.

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- YouTube

Belarus foreign minister's "sudden" death drives speculation

Carl Bildt, former prime minister of Sweden, shares his perspective on European politics.

What's really happening in Belarus?

Well, a mysterious thing happened. I mean, the foreign minister, Mr. Makei, who's been healthy and no problem whatsoever, died very, very suddenly the other day. He's been a loyal lieutenant of Lukashenko, no question about that. Also, during the sort of, the crackdown time over the last few years, but he has been under the cover, he has sort of been maneuvering. And he's been, in private conversation with me and others, very, very explicit on Moscow's imperial designs. So, there's a lot of speculation what really happened. And according to rumors, these are rumors, Mr. Lukashenko has changed all of his kitchen staff lately.

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One of three Nobel Peace Prize winners for 2022, Belarusian human rights activist Ales Bialiatski.

Reuters

Applause and debate over Nobel Peace Prize

The Nobel Peace Prize was awarded on Friday to human rights activists in a region at war. While many celebrated the work of all three in the face of authoritarianism, the shared nature of the award also stirred debate. A Russian civil rights organization, an agency investigating war crimes in Ukraine, and a Belarusian activist won the coveted award.

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Unpacking Lithuania's Energy Independence Strategy | Gintarė Skaistė | Global Stage | GZERO Media

Unpacking Lithuania's energy independence strategy

Over the past two years, Lithuania's economy was hit hard first by COVID, then by the Belarusian migrant crisis, and finally high energy prices late last year.

But now it's proving more resilient than others to the effects of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Why? Mostly because they prepared for it, Lithuania's Finance Minister Gintarė Skaistė tells Eurasia Group's Shari Friedman in a GlobalStage conversation.

Indeed, the Baltic nation recently grabbed headlines when it became the first EU member state to stop buying Russian oil and natural gas.

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All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club, Wimbledon, England.

REUTERS/Toby Melville

Wimbledon to ban Russians & Belarusians

The All England Tennis Club, reportedly under pressure from the British government, has decided with “deep regret” to ban all Russian and Belarusian players from this year’s Wimbledon tennis tournament. A number of sporting events, including tennis, have banned Russian teams while allowing individual players to compete with no official acknowledgment of their country affiliation. But Wimbledon’s decision is highly unusual – the oldest of the Grand Slam tennis tournaments hasn’t banned individual players from competition since just after World War II. We have questions, and we’d be interested to read your answers via email. Is this a welcome public refusal to continue life as normal following an invasion condemned by the governments of 141 countries? Should sports and politics be kept separate? Is it fair to blame tennis players for the actions of their governments? Should the players’ expressed opinions on the invasion matter? What do you think? Write to us here.

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