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Eileen Zhang, Natalie Johnson

Will the US and Iran reach a nuclear deal before 2027? Will the Cuban regime fall this year? Will France win the World Cup? These questions are generating up to millions of dollars today on prediction markets — platforms where people wager on the outcomes of real-world events.

Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te speaks at a press conference on the latest round of economic talks with the United States, in Taipei, Taiwan, on February 3, 2026.

REUTERS/Ann Wang

Chinese President Xi Jinping reportedly plans to focus on Taiwan during his planned summit with US President Donald Trump next month.