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kalshi

Illustration of the Polymarket website and logo. Polymarket is an online betting platform where users can bet on various global events, including political outcomes. Often a source of controversy, the site is banned in France, but this does not prevent a dozen bets from being placed on French current affairs.
Analysis

Are prediction markets the new polls?

As Americans head toward November’s midterms, the boom of apps like Polymarket and Kalshi is raising a bigger question: can prediction markets rival – even replace – traditional polling?

Betting on Trump
Hard Numbers

Betting on Trump

Gabriel Perez, who has worked for the president since 2016, is under fire for his prediction market wagers, allegedly using his access to the speeches to make his bets

The land of the living (long)

The land of the living (long)

Figures show Japan is now home to over 100,000 centenarians, the highest number in the world.

The explosion of prediction markets
Graphic Truth

The explosion of prediction markets

Will the US and Iran reach a nuclear deal before 2027? Will the Cuban regime fall this year? Will France win the World Cup? These questions are generating up to millions of dollars today on prediction markets — platforms where people wager on the outcomes of real-world events.