Hungarians go to the polls on April 12, and all signs are pointing to a historic defeat for Viktor Orbán, the country's strongman populist leader for the past 16 years and President Trump's closest European ally. But losing an election is one thing, says Eurasia Group's Europe expert Mujtaba Rahman. Admitting defeat is another.

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Last week, Microsoft took legal and technical action to disrupt Fox Tempest, a cybercrime-as-a-service operation that enabled attackers to disguise malware as trusted software and scale ransomware attacks globally. The case highlights a growing shift toward service-based cybercrime ecosystems and the importance of targeting upstream tools that make attacks harder to detect. Read the full blog here.