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mujtaba rahman

The French are furious at Macron–for good reason
The Debrief

The French are furious at Macron–for good reason

On The Debrief, Eurasia Group's Europe practice head Mujtaba Rahman breaks down the three crises looming over France: political turmoil, strained public finances, and a younger generation losing faith in its future. With the far right poised to benefit, France’s problems could become Europe’s.

Viktor Orbán will lose re-election. But will he leave?
The Debrief

Viktor Orbán will lose re-election. But will he leave?

Hungarians go to the polls on April 12, and all signs are pointing to a historic defeat for Viktor Orbán, the country's strongman populist leader for the past 16 years and President Trump's closest European ally, says Eurasia Group's Europe expert Mujtaba Rahman.

Medical workers treat injured people at Ameth Bek hospital after a drone strike on a market in the disputed Abyei region along the border between South Sudan and Sudan, October 19, 2026.
What We're Watching

South Sudan suffers drone strike, Romania finally gets a government, Colombia revives sea beef with Nicaragua

South Sudan is accusing neighboring Sudan of launching a drone strike that killed at least 73 people at a market in Abyei, a disputed, oil-rich region of roughly 4,000 square miles claimed by both countries.

Why Europe’s support for Ukraine could become harder to sustain
GZERO Live

Why Europe’s support for Ukraine could become harder to sustain

Europe enters 2026 under mounting strain as it confronts external threats, internal political pressures, and a weakening relationship with the United States. In GZERO’s 2026 Top Risks livestream, Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director for Europe at Eurasia Group, describes a continent that is “exhausted, fatigued, weak, and vulnerable.”

President Macron is down but not out
The Debrief

President Macron is down but not out

French President Emmanuel Macron is scrambling to pull France out of a deepening political free fall that’s already toppled five prime ministers in two years. Tomorrow he’ll try again—and this time, says Eurasia Group’s Mujtaba Rahman, the fifth pick might finally stick.

Populism and partition? Europe's bleak forecast for the year ahead
Global Stage Interviews

Populism and partition? Europe's bleak forecast for the year ahead

Mujtaba Rahman, Eurasia Group's Managing Director for Europe, discusses political and economic issues in Europe, looking ahead to EU Parliament elections, concerns over populist parties, Ukraine's risks of partition, NATO dynamics, and the impact of a potential Trump presidency on transatlantic relations.