How likely is an early election in the UK?

How likely is an early election in the UK?

UK: How likely is an early election?

More likely than not because both Boris Johnson, the Conservatives, Labour, everyone wants to find a way to avoid a no-deal Brexit and the easiest way to do that is to push for an election. Who wins that election? Anybody's guess at this point.

Hong Kong: Will Carrie Lam eventually resign?

I think it's a little more likely now that it's become public that she said she can't resign because the Chinese government isn't allowing her to. But still, until you get an end to this crisis, that probably requires both some people getting tired but also the military intervening, I think Carrie Lam is still there.

Germany: How significant are the far right's gains in regional elections?

They're very significant. They are in former East Germany, where the Germans are pretty upset that they have been left behind, so not a surprise. Kind of like Appalachian Germany. But now they're picking up in the mid 20 percent. You've got the main governing coalition is getting weaker government, probably eventually falls apart. And that's going to be a problem for Germany. But still, you don't have populism like in other countries.

Finally, Afghanistan: Will the U.S.-Taliban deal last?

Well sure, it'll last long enough for Trump to get American troops out and while it's not going to fix Afghanistan, it will be seen in the United States as a win for Trump internationally, one he's had a hard time getting done in a lot of other places like North Korea and Iran.

More from GZERO Media

A miniature statue of US President Donald Trump stands next to a model bunker-buster bomb, with the Iranian national flag in the background, in Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada, on June 19, 2025.
STR/NurPhoto

US President Donald Trump said Thursday that he will decide whether to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities “in the next two weeks,” a move that re-opens the door to negotiations, but also gives the US more time to position military forces for an operation.

People ride motorcycles as South Korea's LGBTQ community and supporters attend a Pride parade, during the Seoul Queer Culture Festival, in Seoul, South Korea, June 14, 2025.
REUTERS/Kim Soo-hyeon

June is recognized in more than 100 countries in the world as “Pride Month,” marking 55 years since gay liberation marches began commemorating the Stonewall riots – a pivotal uprising against the police’s targeting of LGBTQ+ communities in New York.

Port of Nice, France, during the United Nations Oceans Conference in June 2025.
María José Valverde

Eurasia Group’s biodiversity and sustainability analyst María José Valverde sat down with Rebecca Hubbard, the director of the High Seas Alliance, to discuss the High Seas Treaty.

Housing shortages in the US and Canada have become a significant problem – and a contentious political issue – in recent years. New data on housing construction this week suggest neither country is making enough progress to solve the shortfalls. Here’s a snapshot of the situation on both sides of the border.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford speaks during a meeting of northeastern U.S. Governors and Canadian Premiers, in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., June 16, 2025.
REUTERS/Sophie Park

While the national level drama played out between Donald Trump and Mark Carney at the G7 in Kananaskis, a lot of important US-Canada work was going on with far less fanfare in Boston, where five Canadian premiers met with governors and delegations from seven US states.

- YouTube

What’s next for Iran’s regime? Ian Bremmer says, “It’s much more likely that the supreme leader ends up out, but the military… continues to run the country.”