Here we go again: Israel’s Knesset is once more considering a bill that would force certain ultra-Orthodox Jewish men, who are part of the Haredi sect, to serve in the military – just like the rest of the country. There’s a difference this time: support for Haredi conscription jumped during the course of the two-year war with Hamas, with 85% backing it as of July. In an attempt to get it through parliament, the latest bill hedges a little, granting exemptions to Haredi Jews who are in full-time education. This has prompted fresh fury from many lawmakers who don’t believe the bill goes far enough – including some from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party. Will the issue collapse Netanyahu’s government for a third time?
French President Emmanuel Macron arrived in China on Wednesday for a three-day state visit where trade is expected to be high on the agenda. France – and the EU overall – has a massive trade imbalance with China, with Beijing accounting for 46% of France’s total trade deficit. Macron is expected to try to balance the bill a bit, pushing for greater market access for French exports and more investment in French companies. The Russia-Ukraine war is also on the agenda, with the French president hoping he can convince China to use its leverage over Russia to hinder its ability to continue the war. China has been accused of providing technology to Russia and helping it avoid international sanctions.
Russia’s president begins a three-day official visit to India tomorrow, his first since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The visit comes amid intense US pressure on India to stop buying Russian oil. Deals are expected on agriculture, pharma, and Indian migrant labor, but the spotlight is on energy and weapons. India has recently reduced its reliance on Russia for both, but Moscow remains a key supplier – rumors abound of a potential blockbuster deal for Russian fighter jets. The optics matter: Putin wants to show that he still has powerful friends outside of the US and Europe. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, meanwhile, has a trickier balancing act: to underscore India’s strategic independence without further angering its long-standing partners in the world’s largest economy.
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Even though an energy corruption scandal is roiling his leadership, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky isn’t necessarily in a rush to accept a deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war – especially if the terms are unfavorable.
Ian Bremmer breaks down President Trump’s ultimatum to Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro, “leave with your family or be removed,” and why US military action now appears imminent.