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Ari Winkleman

The Graphic Truth: US-China: Cold War or Cold Cash?

Whether the US and China are in fact slouching towards a new “Cold War” or not, one thing is certain: commerce between them is still hotter than ever.
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Where does the US-China trade war go from here?
Where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Did the Philippine midterm election strengthen Duterte?

It certainly did. He won almost all the Senate seats that were up. He has the ability now to move ahead with constitutional reform. Something that has been challenging for him. Any economic and pro-investment pieces he wants to do, also aligning more with China because he wants more inbound investment. Even though it's not all that popular domestically. His drug war on the other hand is quite popular domestically. It's not internationally and certainly not with the drug lords.

How likely is a conflict in the Persian Gulf?

It's getting a little bit more likely. The Iranian economy is falling apart. The Americans are pressing and the Europeans can't help very much. And that means the Iranians are starting to pull themselves out of the nuclear deal something they really wanted to avoid doing. They were hoping they could last Trump out of one term administration. That means that the potential for an accident leading to escalation is growing still not likely but it's absolute something to worry about.

Where does the US-China trade war go from here?

Well it goes to Tokyo, where Trump and Xi Jinping are going to be meeting at the G20 summit. We've got to be worried about that, but I'm still kind of optimistic because the next round of tariffs, if they were to hit, are the ones that go directly on all the goods Americans buy - the iPhone for example - lots of things from China you see those prices go up. It's going to be much worse than what we've seen so far. I suspect that on balance it's close. It's not easy. It's publicly difficult. But I still think on balance we're going to end up with a deal between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump.

US-China Trade War: What's At Stake?
US-China Trade War: What Is At Stake?

US-China Trade War: What's At Stake?

A US-China Trade War is Looming. Trump is doubling down on tariffs, XI refuses to yield. Can a temporary truce last? On this week's GZERO World, we look at the ramifications of the US-China conflict and the future of international trade.

An Unstable World with Senator Chris Coons
GZERO World S2E20: An Unstable World with Senator Chris Coons

An Unstable World with Senator Chris Coons

This week Ian talks trade wars and TPP. Then he sits down with U.S. Senator Chris Coons to discuss the politics of instability around the world and in Washington, DC. And of course, we've got your Puppet Regime.

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