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"We've lost enormous credibility around the world" because of tariffs - Summers
On GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, economist Larry Summers slams the Trump administration’s trade war as “the worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War.” He says there’s still time to limit the damage—if the tariffs are walked back quickly—but warns that the global fallout is already underway. “Even in the best imaginable place, we have lost enormous credibility in the world,” Summers says, adding that the unpredictability rattles everything from debt markets to US alliances.
When Bremmer asks what the Trump administration is actually trying to accomplish, Summers is at a loss. "I don't see this as a rational way of either pursuing the objective of strengthening US manufacturing or the objective of reducing other countries' trade barriers." And the damage, Summers adds, will be extensive and long-lasting.
"We have lost enormous credibility in the world. We've created a large uncertainty premium about what we're going to do next, and we're going to be seen as a less reliable country...this kind of truculence does not go unnoticed, and it is not immediately forgotten."
Watch full episode: Larry Summers: Trump's trade war the "worst self-inflicted wound since WWII"
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, the award-winning weekly global affairs series, airs nationwide on US public television stations (check local listings).
New digital episodes of GZERO World are released every Monday on YouTube. Don't miss an episode: subscribe to GZERO's YouTube channel and turn on notifications (🔔).GZERO World with Ian Bremmer airs on US public television weekly - check local listings.
Larry Summers has a few thoughts about Trump's trade war
Listen: For a special edition of the GZERO World Podcast, Ian Bremmer sits down with former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers to get his economic assessment of President Trump's unprecedented imposition of tariffs, which has sparked an escalating trade war.
"I don't see this as a rational way of either pursuing the objective of strengthening US manufacturing or the objective of reducing other countries' trade barriers," Summers tells Bremmer. "This is probably the worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War."
Summers, who was also at one point the President of Harvard University, is especially astonished by the lack of backbone that certain institutions, from universities to law firms, have shown when it comes to standing up against the Trump administration. "History will record of the United States establishment at this moment, that it allowed itself to be especially cowed...If Harvard is not prepared to speak up... it's hard to imagine who will."
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Larry Summers: Trump's trade war the "worst self-inflicted wound since WWII"
On a scale of 1-10, how irritated is former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers by the Trump administration's escalating trade war? He's at an 11. On a special edition of GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, Summers says he is highly concerned with the White House's ad hoc and escalating imposition of tariffs, which he describes as the "worst, most consequential, self-inflicted wound in US economic policy since the Second World War." He believes that even if the tariffs are reversed, the US has already lost significant credibility globally, which will have long-term consequences for the country's ability to sell debt, form security alliances, and conduct economic and foreign policy.
Summers, formerly the president of Harvard University, also tells Ian that he's more than a little disappointed by the lack of public pushback from US institutions and business leaders, though he understands the complexities they face in speaking out against the administration. But economics aside, Summers is more worried about the threat to American democracy and the rule of law than the health of the US and global economy. Economic damage can be reversed but erosion of democratic norms is harder to recover from.
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, the award-winning weekly global affairs series, airs nationwide on US public television stations (check local listings).
New digital episodes of GZERO World are released every Monday on YouTube. Don't miss an episode: subscribe to GZERO's YouTube channel and turn on notifications (🔔).GZERO World with Ian Bremmer airs on US public television weekly - check local listings.
Larry Summers explains the banking crisis
On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer and former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers discuss a range of topics, including the global banking system, the impact of AI on the labor market, and a controversial solution for rebuilding Ukraine.
Summers, an expert on inflation, provides valuable insights into recent bank failures that have caused concern among investors worldwide. He discusses whether the current situation constitutes a banking crisis, explores the role that inflation is playing in contributing to the banking problems, and makes predictions about the duration of the current financial turmoil.
He and Bremmer also touch on the impact of AI on the labor market, with Summers warning of significant changes that will cause profound shifts in traditional hierarchies and ways of thinking, which may make influential groups uneasy.
Summers also offers a provocative solution for rebuilding Ukraine: seizing frozen Russian assets.
Note: this interview was featured on an episode of GZERO World with Ian Bremmer on April 3, 2023: The banking crisis, AI & Ukraine: Larry Summers weighs in
Larry Summers: Russia should pay for Ukraine
On GZERO World, former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers proposes a controversial solution to help rebuild Ukraine: seize frozen Russian assets and give them to Ukraine.
Despite some concerns about the legality of this approach and the potential for similar measures to be used against other countries, Summers argues that Russia's moral debt to Ukraine justifies such a move and that it would be a more effective means of support than relying on American taxpayers.
Furthermore, he believes that setting a precedent where aggressor countries have their assets seized could discourage future acts of aggression and mitigate the damage caused by them.
Watch the GZERO World episode: The banking crisis, AI & Ukraine: Larry Summers weighs in
The next economic crisis Larry Summers is worried about
On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer and former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers discuss the policy response to the recent banking crisis involving Silicon Valley Bank and the Biden administration's actions.
Summers rates the government's move to step in and guarantee depositors in SVP positively but expresses concern over the high cost of the SVB bailout.
He also worries about the real estate sector, particularly the office building sector and corporate lending to mid-size businesses.
Watch the GZERO World episode: The banking crisis, AI & Ukraine: Larry Summers weighs in
Is your money safe? Larry Summers on the banking crisis
Banks, in many ways, are the backbone of the economy, but when Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank recently failed, it raised some tough questions about the stability and regulation of financial institutions. On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer and former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers dive deep into the crisis and explore the complex factors that led to the banking turmoil.
Summers explains that the failures of these banks were caused by a combination of factors, including an increasingly digital world with high interest rates, risky investments, and long-term bonds that decreased in value as interest rates rose.
This led to depositors becoming alarmed about the security of their money and quickly moving it to other banks that offered higher returns. The banks' inability to manage these withdrawals sparked fears of a bank run and ultimately led to government intervention.
Summers also criticizes the management of Silicon Valley Bank for their "incompetence" and the Federal Reserve's regulation for not “stopping the accident that was waiting to happen.”
“In many ways, the financial system is like an anesthesiologist," Summers remarks, "nobody much notices a job that they're doing until something screws up."
Watch the GZERO World episode: The banking crisis, AI & Ukraine: Larry Summers weighs in
The banking crisis, AI & Ukraine: Larry Summers weighs in
The recent spate of bank failures has caused significant turbulence in markets and left investors jittery across the globe, from Silicon Valley to Switzerland. But is this a sign of a systemic banking crisis or of a more fundamental flaw in capitalism? In an interview with Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, former US Treasury Secretary Larry Summers provides an in-depth analysis of the situation.
Summers is critical of the management of Silicon Valley Bank and the federal government's intervention, which failed to prevent the banking turmoil. He also expresses concerns about the real estate sector, particularly when it comes to office buildings, and corporate lending to mid-sized businesses.
The conversation also delves into the impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market, with Summers cautioning that AI will "bring about significant changes" that will “profoundly alter traditional hierarchies and ways of thinking,” which may threaten influential groups. It’s even probable, he tells Bremmer, that we’ll see “restrictionist and protectionist policies that limit our ability to benefit from these technologies or slow down [their development].”
Summers also proposes a contentious solution to rebuild Ukraine: seizing frozen Russian assets.
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