March 27, 2026
From military strategy to political divides, Rahm Emanuel and Ian Bremmer break down the US troubled path toward the Iran war and domestic fractured politics.
Filmed in front of a live audience at the 92nd Street Y in NYC, Rahm Emanuel argues that the war in Iran was a choice—one Trump made himself, regardless of any pressure from Israel. It’s a move Emanuel describes as politically motivated rather than strategically necessary.
He highlights the growing divide between the US and its allies, especially in Europe and the Gulf, thanks to Trump’s disregard for diplomacy and international cooperation. This isolation, Emanuel warns, has left the US vulnerable at a time when unity is critical. The fallout from belittling allies is now being felt as the country faces escalating military commitments abroad.
Emanuel also sounds the alarm on America’s internal political dysfunction, which he sees as a far greater threat than any foreign adversary. He argues that China, in particular, is more concerned with America’s fractured domestic politics than with its military power. “What they worry about is a focused, determined America. They see our political dysfunction”, he says. For Emanuel, the real challenge for the US is not the conflict abroad, but the inability to govern effectively at home.
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Israel’s right-wing government has overseen a record expansion of settlements in the West Bank in recent years. The settlements, which are illegal under international law, are driving the displacement of Palestinians. One proposal the government is now advancing is the controversial E1 settlement plan, which would effectively slice the West Bank in two and severely undermine Palestinian aspirations for a contiguous state.
More than 70% of the earth’s surface is covered in good old H2O, so it would seem there’s plenty to go around. But the vast majority, at least 97%, is contained in the oceans as saltwater. The growing scarcity of freshwater for drinking, cooking, industrial, and agricultural uses is quickly moving water up as a global risk. In fact, our parent company, Eurasia Group, added it to its Top Risks list for 2026 as “The water weapon.”
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