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​Donald Trump as a giant hitting Venezuela with a stick.
by ian bremmer

America built the global order. Now it's tearing it down.

2026 is a tipping point year. The biggest source of global instability won’t be China, Russia, Iran, or the ~60 conflicts burning across the planet – the most since World War II. It will be the United States.

​Italy's Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni speaks at the lower house of Parliament, ahead of a European Union leaders' summit, in Rome, Italy, December 17, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Italy considers another electoral change, Iran offers cash to beleaguered citizens, Missed safety checks in Switzerland, Pentagon reviews role of female soldiers

4: Italy has reformed its voting rules four times since 1993, and Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is now considering a fifth change.

Protesters demonstrate against poor economic conditions in Tehran, Iran, on Dec. 29, 2025.​
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Iran’s protests won’t end, Starmer eyes closer EU relations, South Korea’s Lee visits Beijing

Protesters demonstrate against poor economic conditions in Tehran, Iran, on December 29, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Protests in Iran, Saudi-UAE feud escalates in Yemen, Peruvian shamans deliver their top risks

​Japanese Emperor Naruhito and Empress Masako visit a kindergarten in Tokyo on May 21, 2024.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Japan’s birth rate sinks to record low, Executions set to double in Iran, Sudan’s soccer team provide rare moment of joy, & More

Revisiting the top geopolitical risks of 2025
ask ian

Revisiting the top geopolitical risks of 2025

Before turning to Top Risks 2026, Ian Bremmer looks back at how this year’s Top Risks 2025 actually performed.

Pro-democracy protesters carry portraits of North Yemen's late president Ibrahim al-Hamdi.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Yemeni ministers back rebel group, US surveillance planes fly over Nigeria, Myanmar to hold elections amid civil war

In the latest twist to Yemen’s decade-long civil war, a group of government ministers declared support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), a rebel group that broke the war’s deadlock earlier this month by seizing control of the oil-rich Handramout region.

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.
Analysis

Top risks of 2025, reviewed

Here’s how Eurasia Group’s 2025 Top Risks report stacked up – where it hit the mark and where it missed.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C., USA, on Dec. 5, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: Canada’s Carney faces spelling backlash, US unemployment hits four-year high, Iran shows off its missiles, Japan-China spat means pandas are coming home

​An Indian security personnel stands guard as women voters queue to cast their ballots at a polling station during the Budgam Assembly constituency bypoll in Budgam district, Jammu and Kashmir, on November 11, 2025.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: Modi tested in India elections, Iraq election promises little, Cambodia-Thailand truce on the rocks