May 26, 2021
Alexander Lukashenko, Belarus' strongman president, knew that he would face few serious consequences from Brussels for intercepting an EU airliner this week to arrest a dissident journalist. That's because the Europeans rely heavily on Russian natural gas imports, roughly a quarter of which traverse Belarusian territory. This dependence on Belarusian facilities for natural gas, a difficult resource to transport, gives Lukashenko disproportionate leverage with Brussels – and he knows it. We take a look at some of the main natural gas arteries that cross Belarusian territory.
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At the 2026 US Canada Summit in Toronto, hosted by Eurasia Group and RBC, Ian Bremmer breaks down the idea of a US-China “Thucydides Trap,” where rising and dominant powers collide.
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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian displays a memorandum of understanding after signing it in Tehran, Iran, on June 18, 2026, after the document was signed by US President Donald Trump.
Iranian Presidency via ZUMA Press
The interim agreement to end the war, signed by both sides on Wednesday, appears to tilt toward Iran. But the regime remains vulnerable.
A displaced woman holds an Iranian flag as she makes her way back to her home in southern Lebanon, on the highway of Sidon, Lebanon, June 16, 2026.
REUTERS/Zohra Bensemra
On June 14, the US and Iran announced a deal to end the war. A signing ceremony is set for Friday. The terms include an immediate ceasefire on all fronts. With both sides spinning the deal as a victory, there are plenty of ways for this to go wrong.
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