December 15, 2025
Ian Bremmer explains a major shift in the Ukraine war: Europe, not the United States, is now driving the strategy.
The EU has agreed to indefinitely freeze $247 billion in Russian assets, unlocking Belgian support for a nearly $200 billion loan to Ukraine. This guarantees Kyiv enough funding to continue fighting for years, regardless of what Washington does.
It also means Europe and Ukraine, not the US, will have more say over the war’s future. For the Trump administration, avoiding responsibility outweighs shaping the outcome.
But Europe faces vulnerabilities: slow growth, fragmented politics, weak defense capacity, and US pressure backing Euroskeptic movements. Whether the EU strengthens into a true geopolitical “pole,” or fragments, will shape the post–G-zero world.
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What happens when the world’s most powerful actors stop facing accountability? That’s the question at the heart of the Atlas and Impunity, an annual report from the Eurasia Group that measures how people experience the abuse of power in nearly 200 countries. Ian Bremmer sat down with International Rescue Committee president and CEO David Miliband on GZERO World to talk about why the levels of impunity in conflict states like Sudan and Syria are spiraling out of control, and what the data reveals about the state of democracy, human rights, and how power is wielded around the globe.
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