US–China relations are once again on edge. After Washington expanded export controls on Chinese tech firms, Beijing struck back with new limits on critical minerals. President Trump responded by threatening 100% tariffs, then quickly walked them back.

Ian Bremmer says neither side wants a full trade war: “Trump doesn’t want to risk inflation or crash the markets, and Xi knows both countries have real leverage over each other.”

As Trump and Xi prepare to meet, from TikTok control to Taiwan tensions, Ian explains why “this relationship is tense, but not heading for a blow-up.”

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A woman shows her ink-marked finger after casting her ballot at a polling station during the Assam Legislative Assembly election in Nagaon District, Assam, India, on April 9, 2026.
Photo by Anuwar Hazarika/NurPhoto

More than 50 million voters in India’s states of Assam and Kerala, along with the federally-administered territory of Puducherry, head to the polls today in regional elections.

The revenue generated by Russia’s main oil tax in April amid the Iran war, per Reuters calculations. The amount is double last month’s revenue, and up by 10% from this time last year.

Natalie Johnson

The Iran war has pushed Brent crude prices to $100 per barrel, up from around $70 before the conflict began.