January 18, 2026
Ian Bremmer breaks down a sudden and serious transatlantic crisis: President Trump’s insistence that the United States must have sovereignty over Greenland.
This is not a negotiation over security guarantees, expanded US bases, or Arctic cooperation, all which Denmark and Greenland have said they would accommodate. Instead, Washington has drawn a red line: no deal unless the US owns Greenland outright. That position, reinforced by Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, has triggered threats of tariffs against European countries supporting Denmark and raised questions about America’s reliability inside NATO.
European leaders believe this push isn’t really about security or critical minerals. Ian says many see it as a legacy play driven by Trump’s ego and something Greenlanders would never vote for and Denmark will not accept. The deeper risk, Ian warns, is structural: “The more the United States unilaterally undermines the collective security trust of NATO, the stronger the argument becomes that only American territory is truly protected.”
The bigger risk is strategic: by undermining allied trust, the US strengthens the argument that only American territory receives ironclad protection. That logic may appeal in Washington, but it accelerates fragmentation inside NATO and the EU.
With Trump and European leaders heading to Davos, the question is whether diplomacy can produce a climbdown, or whether Greenland becomes the next major rupture in the global order.
From Your Site Articles
- What We’re Watching: Greenlanders & Danes comes to DC, Somalia cuts ties with the UAE, Japan is heading for an election ›
- The price is right: Greenland edition ›
- Graphic Truth: Denmark’s losses in Afghanistan ›
- “We can’t take any chances”: Sen. Gallego moves to block Greenland takeover ›
- Three reasons why Trump wants Greenland ›
- Why Trump’s Greenland threats alarm Europe ›
More For You
Could Chinese AI give Europe an edge? | The Debrief with Heather West
Could China give Europe a shortcut in the AI race?
Europe has struggled to build models that compete with American and Chinese rivals. But Chinese models that companies can download, customize, and run themselves could offer another way forward—with more control over data and security.
Most Popular
- YouTube
With the midterms just weeks away, Democrats are hoping for a blue wave, while Republicans are fighting to hold onto Congress. Amy Walter and Liam Donovan join Ian Bremmer to break down the races, the issues driving voters, and what the results could mean for Trump's presidency.
With the midterms just weeks away, Democrats are eyeing control of Congress as Republicans struggle with the political fallout from the Iran war, rising prices, and Trump's unpopularity. Amy Walter and Liam Donovan join Ian Bremmer to break down what could happen in November and what it means for the future of both parties.
Since returning to power in 2025, the Trump administration has drastically changed the answer to this question, pursuing an ‘America First’ philosophy that is dramatically more transactional: the US will give you money, but you must give the US something valuable in return.
© 2025 GZERO Media. All Rights Reserved | A Eurasia Group media company.
