There are signs of progress. Political prisoners have been released, civil society is cautiously reemerging, and some opposition figures have returned to the country. But many key figures from the old regime remain in power, inflation remains catastrophic, and there is still no timeline for national elections.
“It's clearly a positive trajectory, but there are limitations in how far that's going, and it deserves being watched really closely going forward.”
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The interim agreement to end the war, signed by both sides on Wednesday, appears to tilt toward Iran. But the regime remains vulnerable.
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