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Iran ceasefire frays
Quick Take

Iran ceasefire frays

In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer says the Iran ceasefire is “holding on by a thread” as renewed strikes and proxy attacks undermine hopes for a broader deal.

​Smoke billows from southern Lebanon
What We're Watching

Israel and Lebanon agree to renew ceasefire, US lawmakers check Trump’s war powers, and Africa’s got game (literally)

Lebanon and Israel signed a ceasefire, but Hezbollah didn't, and that is a problem. With Netanyahu under pressure to escalate, Trump searching for a face-saving exit, and Iran unmoved by US muscle-flexing, the deadlock shows no signs of breaking.

​Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a ceremony commemorating Israel’s Remembrance Day for fallen soldiers on Mount Herzl in Jerusalem, on April 21, 2026.
by ian bremmer

Why Trump’s Iran deal could finally end Netanyahu

The United States and Iran seem to be moving closer to a deal to end the war, which could hurt Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s reelection hopes.

​A crowd celebrates after a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel went into effect, in Sidon, Lebanon, on April 17, 2026.
What We're Watching

US-Iran ceasefire talks gain steam, Leading leftists meet in Barcelona, The EU may have a new Russia ally

The 10-day ceasefire negotiated between Israel and Lebanon took effect last night – one that the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah acknowledged but hasn’t said whether they’d abide by – has added some momentum to the US-Iran ceasefire talks.

Russian President Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, on April 14, 2026.​
What We're Watching

Putin makes big gamble, Israel and Lebanon agree to ceasefire, Riyadh reportedly plans to halt funds for golf tour

The Parliament signed a law this week that would allow the military to attack any country that holds Russians captive. But in so doing, Vladimir Putin may have backed himself into a corner.

Cargo ships in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from northern Ras al-Khaimah, in the United Arab Emirates, on March 11, 2026.​
What We're Watching

Tehran tests Washington’s naval blockade, Spain’s leader visits China again, Ukrainian robots take back land

One day after US President Donald Trump announced that he had started a blockade of ships coming in and out of Iranian ports via the Strait of Hormuz, Tehran is already testing those US commitments.

​Smoke rises after an Israeli strike on Beirut's southern suburbs on March 6, 2026.
Analysis

For Hezbollah, is the writing on the wall?

The Lebanese militant group’s strikes against Israel on Monday appear to have given the Israelis the pretext to launch a massive counter-attack, with the ultimate aim being to disarm the Iran-backed group once and for all.

​A satellite image shows black smoke rising and heavy damage at Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's compound in Tehran, Iran, on February 28, 2026.
Analysis

Iran conflict spirals, with no end in sight

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is dead, the conflict is spreading, and US President Donald Trump still isn’t clear on who he wants to run Iran.

​People inspect the damage at the site of an Israeli strike on Friday, in Bednayel, Bekaa valley, Lebanon, February 21, 2026.
What We're Watching

Israel reportedly warns Lebanon, China-Japan tiff escalates, Canada says it will give aid to Cuba

Israel indirectly warned Lebanon that it would strike its northern neighbor hard if the Iran-backed militia group Hezbollah gets involved in any future US-Iran conflict, two Lebanese officials told Reuters.