VIDEOSGZERO World with Ian BremmerQuick TakePUPPET REGIMEIan ExplainsGZERO ReportsAsk IanGlobal Stage
Site Navigation
Search
Human content,
AI powered search.
Latest Stories
Sign up for GZERO Daily.
Get our latest updates and insights delivered to your inbox.
Global Stage: Live from Munich
WATCH RECORDING
GZERO World Clips
Highlights from the GZERO World with Ian Bremmer weekly television show.
Presented by
So, is the Iran nuclear deal 2.0 finally happening, or not?
Ali Vaez, Iran project director at the International Crisis Group, says he stopped making predictions months ago. Still, he puts the odds now at 50/50.
Failure is not an option for the Iranians, Vaez tells Ian Bremmer in a GZERO World interview, because they've survived crippling US economic sanctions but will never thrive under them. Also, if the crisis escalated, additional UN sanctions will snap back.
The Iran nuclear deal has also become too big to fail for the Americans, he says. Why? Iran is closer to the verge of acquiring nukes than it's been in 20 years.Vaez explains that Iran's breakout time — how long it'll take the Iranians to enrich enough uranium for a single nuclear weapon — is now less than two weeks. It was more than 12 months when former US President Donald Trump took office.
Biden, he thinks, could pay a political price for restoring the agreement in the November midterm elections — but allowing Iran to become a nuclear-armed state on his watch could hurt the president even more.
Keep reading...Show less
More from GZERO World Clips
GZERO World with Ian Bremmer
Feb 28, 2026
President Trump against the world
February 16, 2026
How Singapore navigates a fragmented world
February 02, 2026
Singapore thrived on globalization. Now what?
January 30, 2026
Can Europe stay united?
January 23, 2026
One year into Trump 2.0: How the world has changed
January 18, 2026
How Trump transformed the US presidency
January 16, 2026
Frank Fukuyama on Venezuela: "This is a nation-building exercise"
January 13, 2026
Maduro is gone. What happens now?
January 12, 2026
Venezuela after Maduro and Trump unleashed
January 09, 2026
GZERO Series
© 2026 GZERO Media. All Rights Reserved | A Eurasia Group company.
GZERO Daily: our free newsletter about global politics
Keep up with what’s going on around the world - and why it matters.