Can China and the U.S. Coexist?

As it turns 70, can the People's Republic of China coexist with the United States?

Well I'm not one of these people believes that we're heading to war, The Thucydides Trap, rising power, declining power, necessarily goes confrontation, in part because China doesn't have global military power or diplomatic capabilities. And even on the economy and trade they need to work with the United States. Both sides, although we know that. But on technology we don't see coexistence. Right now, we see zero sumness. We see an end in unwinding globalization. I'm deeply concerned about that. That's why I think we're heading to a tech Cold War.

What does low voter turnout in their election mean for Afghanistan?

Not just low, like the lowest in recent history. And it's, you know, in part because the security is an enormous problem. It's actually dangerous, physically dangerous for people to vote. And because the people that are going to win ultimately don't have control of a lot of the country in Afghanistan. So, it's less about elections than is about basic security. You got to get that right, first.

Is Ukraine the new Berlin Wall?

No, but it's absolutely the thing that's going to be dividing the Americans the most, between Democrats and Republicans, over the course of the next months. Interestingly, for Ukraine itself, we're closer to a deal with the Russians than we have been at any point since 2014, during the invasion. There was that recent exchange of prisoners and the diplomacy with the Europeans is actually picking up a little bit. It's not great. But it's moving, finally, in the right direction

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How did an entire country's media spread false news for a night?

Fascinating case study in France over the weekend. For less than a day, we thought that the most wanted men in the country had been caught in Scotland. Turned out to be a case of mistaken identity. The so-called news was actually reported quite carefully at first, on Friday night with careful words. But the language quickly moved from conditional to categorical and therefore, to misinformation through human error. What you have here is the tension between being first and being right, which has always been present in journalism but is more and more as you have these 24 hour news channels, social media, and the incredible economic pressure on news sites that are advertising based and therefore click based.

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Donald Trump announced a fresh "phase 1" trade deal with China last week, part of his ongoing bid to reduce the United States' huge trade deficit with China. The US has been buying more from China than China buys from the US for decades, but since coming into office Trump has made reducing that deficit central to his "America First" agenda. It's not easy to do. Consider that in 2018, after two full years of the Trump administration, the trade deficit with China actually swelled to its highest level since the Clinton years. That's because many perfectly healthy economic factors contribute to a trade deficit: stronger economic growth under Trump has meant more demand for foreign goods, so as long as the economy keeps humming along, it will be hard for Trump to reduce the deficit. Likewise, the strong US dollar makes foreign goods cheaper for US consumers to import, while China's own economic slowdown in 2018 decreased Chinese demand for American goods. For a historical perspective on all of this, here's a look at how the US-China trade balance has developed under each US president going back to 1993.

On Friday, we detailed the main arguments for and against President Trump's decision to withdraw US troops from a pocket of northern Syria where their presence had protected Washington's Kurdish allies against an attack from Turkey. We then asked Signal readers to let us know what they thought.

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Dangerous Chaos in Syria – Turkey's military move into northern Syria had two stated goals: to push Kurdish fighters inside Syria further from Turkey's border and to create a "safe zone" inside Syria in which Turkey could place up to two million Syrian refugees currently living in camps inside Turkey. But the Kurds have now allied with Syria's army, which is backed by Russia, and these forces are now moving north into that same territory toward Turkish troops and Arab militias backed by Ankara. Meanwhile, large numbers of ISIS fighters and their families have escaped prisons where Kurds had held them captive. Turkey's President Erdogan vows to press ahead with his operation until "ultimate victory is achieved." Pandora's Box is now wide open.

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