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​A 3D-printed miniature model depicting US President Donald Trump, the Chinese flag, and the word "tariffs" in this illustration taken on April 17, 2025.
What We're Watching

US and China limp toward trade war thaw

The US economy contracted 0.3% at an annualized rate in the first quarter of 2025, while China’s manufacturing plants saw their sharpest monthly slowdown in over a year. Behind the scenes, the world’s two largest economies are backing away from their extraordinary trade war.

Visite d’Etat de M. XI Jinping, Président de la République populaire de Chine, en France en presence de Ursula Von der Leyen
Hard Numbers

HARD NUMBERS: China lifts EU sanctions, Harvard reports on discrimination, Turkish police continue crackdown, Argentines scoop up dollars, Plastics kill

​U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi shake hands as they attend a joint press conference at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., February 13, 2025.
What We're Watching

A winner from Trump tariff wars? Maybe India

If there’s a winner from President Donald Trump’s trade wars, India is a good candidate. Its longtime rivalry with China gives Prime Minister Narendra Modi ample motive to build new bridges with the United States.

​People bathe in the sun under parasols on a beach near the city of Larnaca, Cyprus, on August 11, 2024.
Hard Numbers

HARD NUMBERS: UAE carries Cyprus’ water, China toughens trade stance, Trump admin ignores court order, Americans expect price hikes, Germany’s economy remains stagnant, South Korea’s ex-leader indicted

President Donald Trump at a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping during the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, on June 29, 2019.
GZERO North

Trump promises to be “very nice” with China – but Beijing won’t be flattered

On Wednesday, Donald Trump said he would deliver a “fair deal” with China and that he’d be “very nice” to the country after meeting with major retailers. But Beijing denies that there are any ongoing talks and has told the US it must cancel its unilateral tariffs before China will broker any negotiations.

Trump’s 4D checkers, China’s opportunity, climate hopes, and more: Your questions, answered
by ian bremmer

Trump’s 4D checkers, China’s opportunity, climate hopes, and more: Your questions, answered

Welcome to another edition of my mailbag, where I attempt to make sense of our increasingly chaotic world, one reader question at a time.

​Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with Cambodia's Prime Minister Hun Manet (not pictured) at the Peace Palace in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, April 17, 2025.
What We're Watching

China warns world against harmful US trade deals

China warned Monday that it would “take countermeasures” against countries that try to curry favor with the US by hurting Beijing.

​U.S. President Donald Trump attends the White House Easter Egg Roll, in Washington, D.C., U.S., on April 21, 2025.
Hard Numbers

HARD NUMBERS: Trump rolls real eggs, UAE seeks AI’s help, White House nixes safety jobs, South China Sea gets battle-tested, Gold rush, Senior US official robbed