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Emerging Markets Most at Risk From Global Recession in 2023, Says Eurasia Group Expert | GZERO Media

Emerging markets most vulnerable to recession and political discontent

Inflation shockwaves is Eurasia Group's top geopolitical risk No. 4 for 2023. But who is most vulnerable to the effects of rising interest rates and a looming global recession?

Emerging markets.

Why? For Rob Kahn, managing director for geo-economics at Eurasia Group, these countries are in deep trouble because they have higher debt and more subject to sudden stops of capital flows that'll make it harder for them to pay for stuff. Not to mention that the pandemic has killed any fiscal monetary policy space they had before COVID, Kahn noted in a GZERO Live conversation about Eurasia Group's Top Risks 2023 report.

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Will China Determine the Fate of the World? | GZERO World

Will China determine the fate of the world?

Who's the most powerful person on the planet right now? Xi Jinping, who just got a third term as boss of China's ruling Communist Party and got all his loyalists appointed to the CCP's top decision-making body. But having so much power comes with big tradeoffs.

Zero-COVID is saving Chinese lives, yet killing the Chinese economy. And Xi is feeling the heat from his increasingly muscular foreign policy.

On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer speaks to Antoine van Agtmael, the investor who coined the term "emerging markets" and knows a thing or two about China. He believes China is now the second largest economy in the world and soon to surpass the largest, the United States.

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China's Innovation Means It's Winning, Says Investor | GZERO World

China's innovation means it's winning, says investor

What will the world look like in the Chinese century?

It'll be "much less nice," emerging markets investor Antoine van Agtmael tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World. A lot of that has to with tech innovation coming from a society in which thought is controlled.

China, he adds, is making remarkable progress and is close a breakthroughs on things like nuclear fusion or artificial intelligence.

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How Globalization Backfired | GZERO World

How globalization backfired

Antoine van Agtmael knows a thing or two about emerging markets.

In fact, he coined the term for investors two decades ago. That's back when when we believed that globalization would create a global middle class.

"We believed in globalization. We believed that it would make the world better," van Agtmael tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.

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Chinese Power | GZERO World with Ian Bremmer

Chinese power

Xi Jinping just got a rare third term as the head of China's ruling Communist Party. But having so much power comes with big tradeoffs and implications for China — and the rest of the world.

Zero-COVID is saving Chinese lives, yet killing the Chinese economy. And the West is wary of Xi's increasingly muscular foreign policy.

On GZERO World, Ian Bremmer speaks to Antoine van Agtmael, the investor who coined the term "emerging markets" and knows a thing or two about China. His prediction: that the 21st century will be a Chinese Century, with Washington playing second fiddle to Beijing.

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Podcast: What if China’s power keeps growing?

Listen: As China's leader Xi Jinping begins an unprecedented third term in office, it's fair to ask: how much will China's future affect the whole world? On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks to global markets expert and investor Antoine van Agtmael, who believes that this will be the "Chinese century."

They discuss the future of globalization and whether the term “emerging markets”— a term coined by Agtmael himself to describe nations transitioning to developed economies – still applies to much of the world. Some of those economies are in decline, but some like China have gone beyond that category. In fact, China is now the second largest economy in the world and is set to surpass the largest, that of the United States.

TRANSCRIPT


Is the World on the Brink of Another Global Recession? | Ayhan Kose | Global Stage | GZERO Media

Is the world on the brink of another global recession?

The global economy's 2023 outlook is ... bleak. Why? Ayhan Kose, the World Bank’s chief economist for Equitable Growth, Finance, and Institutions, says that unlike the 2009 and 2020 global recessions, next year's likely slowdown in economic activity — coupled with growing inflation — could be more like the one of 1982, which also came with a string of debt crises.

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Uncertainties of COVID Vaccine Rollout Timing | US-Russia Under Biden | World In :60 | GZERO Media

Uncertainties of COVID vaccine rollout timing; US-Russia under Biden

Ian Bremmer shares his perspective on global politics on this week's World In (More Than) 60 Seconds:

Number one, what will COVID vaccine distribution look like in the United States and elsewhere?

Very politicized, right? I mean, the fact is that there's an effort to have a distribution to medium and low-income countries. $38 billion requested, one fourth funded at this point. It is so obvious we desperately need it. The money is not yet there. It's clear that the emerging markets are going to take a lot longer and the poorest countries are going to take a lot longer to get vaccines. Now, at least that's less of a disaster in some countries with very, very young people because it's all asymptomatic spread, very few people are actually dying or getting sick from coronavirus if you're in, let's say, a Sub-Saharan African country where the average age is 17 or 18.

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