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Is the world on the brink of another global recession?

The global economy's 2023 outlook is ... bleak. Why? Ayhan Kose, the World Bank’s chief economist for Equitable Growth, Finance, and Institutions, says that unlike the 2009 and 2020 global recessions, next year's likely slowdown in economic activity — coupled with growing inflation — could be more like the one of 1982, which also came with a string of debt crises.


And with growing food insecurity and climate change challenges ahead, for emerging markets and low-income countries, “things are going to get worse before they get better,” Kose says. “That’s why the global community has to show willingness, consensus, and at the same time, financing, to address these problems.”

Kose spoke with Shari Friedman, Eurasia Group's Managing Director, Climate and Sustainability in a Global Stage interview on site at the World Bank/IMF fall meetings in Washington, DC.

More from Global Stage

Can we use AI to secure the world's digital future?

How do we ensure AI is safe, available to everyone, and enhancing productivity? It’s a big topic at this year’s UN General Assembly. That’s why GZERO’s Global Stage livestream brought together leading experts at the heart of the action for “Live from the United Nations: Securing our Digital Future,” an event produced in partnership between the Complex Risk Analytics Fund, or CRAF’d, and GZERO Media’s Global Stage series, sponsored by Microsoft.

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Agentic AI: How it could reshape identity and politics

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How society plays an active role in shaping the future with AI

Who really shapes and influences the development of AI? The creators or the users? Peng Xiao, Group CEO, G42 argues it’s both. “I actually do not subscribe that the creators have so much control they can program every intent into this technology so users can only just respond and be part of that design,” he explains at the 2025 Abu Dhabi Global AI Summit.