A global recession is looming in 2023. But why? Speaking to Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva offers three reasons.
Sub-Saharan Africa was on the brink of economic recovery last year. Now, the World Bank expects its growth to slow in 2023. With global inflation on the rise, rising food and fuel costs “actually put lives at risk in a way few other shocks can," says International Monetary Fund (IMF) senior economist Andrew Tiffin.
Listen: Did US inflation come from supply, or did it come from demand? On the GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks with economist and University of Chicago professor Austan Goolsbee about the causes of the current high levels of inflation in the US and around the world. If inflation is being driven by too much stimulus, as economists like Larry Summers believe, Goolsbee believes the Federal Reserve is doing the right thing by raising interest rates to cool demand. But if inflation is mostly due to the war in Ukraine or supply chain disruptions, rate hikes might result in stagflation.
The international media have been intently focused on the dire inflationary trend in the United States, where inflation recently hit 8.6% — a 40-year high. Indeed, this swing prompted the Federal Reserve to step in this week and implement its largest interest rate hike since 1994. But the US is just one of many advanced economies feeling the burn of sluggish growth and inflation. In fact, several large economies have experienced even bigger rises in inflation over the past year than the US. We compare these numbers for all G7 countries: the US, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, the UK, and Canada.
What's happening in Ukraine has undone much of the momentum for narrowing the equality gap created during the pandemic, said Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, during a Global Stage livestream conversation hosted by GZERO in partnership with Microsoft. The event was held on site at the headquarters of the World Bank in Washington, DC, while the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund held their annual spring meetings.