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Ian Bremmer: Risk of Nuclear Crisis In 2022: Too High | Asia Society | GZERO Media

Ian Bremmer: Risk of nuclear crisis in 2022 is too high

The White House believes that there is a 20% chance of another Cuban Missile Crisis "in the next eight weeks" with Russia, Ian Bremmer said at an event at the Asia Society in New York on Monday. While Bremmer doesn't see as high a chance that Putin would risk using nuclear weapons, he added, "Either way, those numbers are way too freaking high." The even bigger risk, he points out, is that not enough is being done to manage the unprecedented danger from Russia in the medium term.

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Paige Fusco

The Graphic Truth: Tracking the ruble rebound

The ruble is back on top. Why?

What a wild ride the ruble has had so far this year.

Russia's currency nosedived in late February, losing as much as 30% of its value against the US dollar when Western nations slapped tough sanctions on the Kremlin for invading Ukraine. But then Vladimir Putin pulled out all the stops to save the ruble.

Spoiler: it worked.

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Putin Has "Mummified" Russia | Ivan Krastev On the Putin Effect | GZERO World

Putin has "mummified" Russia: Ivan Krastev on the Putin effect

Vladimir Putin has a much bigger long-term problem beyond Ukraine: Russia's population is shrinking, which for political scientist Ivan Krastev will impact how post-Putin Russia looks like because Putin won't let Russians even talk about it.

That's a big deal, he tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World, because the West seems to be primarily focused on isolating Russia while dreaming of a post-Putin world ... without Russia.

Meanwhile, Krastev says the Russians are prepping for a future in which they deal with China instead of the West — which is equally far off for them.

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Ian Explains: The Dangers of Russia Losing Badly | GZERO World

The dangers of Russia losing badly

Vladimir Putin has a much bigger long-term problem beyond Ukraine: Russia's population is shrinking, which for political scientist Ivan Krastev will impact how post-Putin Russia looks like because Putin won't let Russians even talk about it.

That's a big deal, he tells Ian Bremmer, because the West seems to be primarily focused on isolating Russia while dreaming of a post-Putin world ... without Russia.

Meanwhile, Krastev says the Russians are prepping for a future in which they deal with China instead of the West — which is equally far off for them.

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Packs of 1,000-ruble notes at a printing factory in Moscow.

REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

Russian ruble weathers sanctions storm

Having plunged to a record low against the US dollar in early March, the ruble has since recovered most of its losses. Does this mean sanctions can’t impact the Russian economy as much as the West hoped? We asked Eurasia Group senior analyst Jason Bush for his take on the strength of Russia’s economy amid the war and the Western backlash.

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Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Marks the End of Globalization for Russia | World In :60 | GZERO Media

End of globalization for Russia

Who poisoned Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich? Does Russia's invasion of Ukraine mark the end of globalization? Will Shanghai's lockdown begin to shift China away from its zero-COVID policy? Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In :60.

First, who poisoned Russian oligarch Roman Abramovich?

Yeah, it's quite a story involved in the Russia-Ukrainian negotiations, and apparently claimed that he was poisoned. And it's interesting, he is, of course, a very well-known Russian oligarch. He's made his billions of dollars, purely because of the support and alignment with President Putin. And he has been fairly public in his concern with opposition to the war. Indeed, one of the reasons why some of the sanctions have been more limited against him than they would've been is because Zelensky, the Ukrainian President, reached out to the Biden administration and said, "This guy's actually being useful to us, and so it would be, you don't want to hit him too hard." And clearly, the Kremlin is angry about that. And so, I have no intelligence at all about who would've been responsible for his poisoning, but if it happened, the list from the Kremlin would be as long as my arm.

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Three-year-old Ukrainian refugee Karolina from Nikopol looks through a fence on the platform at a train station in Poland.

REUTERS/Hannah McKay

Hard Numbers: US to take in 100K refugees, cost of living surges in Russia, North Korea tests ICBM, polio scare hits Malawi, militants surrender in Nigeria

100,000: The Biden administration announced Thursday that the US will welcome up to 100,000 Ukrainian refugees and others fleeing Russian aggression. This will happen over the “long term” and therefore will not require raising the annual refugee cap.

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Ian Explains: Putin at War With the West | GZERO World

Putin at war with the West

The West is already at war with Russia.

NATO boots may not be on the ground, but NATO-supplied arms and cash are. Off the battlefield, Western sanctions are hitting the Russian economy hard.

Vladimir Putin definitely sees all this as the West being directly at war with Russia, Ian Bremmer explains.

Still, the Russian leader is fighting a 20th-century war in 2022. And so far, he's losing it.

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