Artificial intelligence: How soon will we see meaningful progress?

Artificial intelligence: how soon will we see meaningful progress? | GZERO Media

The field of artificial intelligence has exploded in the last year. Generative AI tools like ChatGPT are now used by hundreds of millions of people around the world for everything from writing college term papers to computer code.

On GZERO World with Ian Bremmer, cognitive scientist and AI researcher Gary Marcus discussed AI’s exponential growth and where the biggest advancements might be in the next few years. One word stands out: uncertainty.

Massive amounts of money have been pumped into AI research and development, but Marcus warns that just because investors are excited, doesn’t mean we’ll see meaningful progress. He cites the example of driverless cars, a field that’s received over $100 billion in investment, but hasn’t yet delivered on its initial promise.

“Large language models are actually special in their unreliability,” Marcus tells Bremmer, “They're arguably the most versatile AI technique that's ever been developed, but they're also the least reliable AI technique that's ever gone mainstream.”

Marcus says that even with the emergence of more advanced models like ChatGPT-5, the reliability of AI to give accurate information in critical areas, like medicine, is still a distant reality. For the near future, at least, generative AI tools will need “humans in the loop” will remain essential for almost all of the uses of AI we’re really benefiting from.

Watch GZERO World with Ian Bremmer every week at gzeromedia.com/gzeroworld or on US public television. Check local listings.

More from GZERO Media

- YouTube

As Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu embraces a “super-Sparta” vision for Israel, Ian Bremmer breaks down what rising global isolation could cost the country—economically, diplomatically, and militarily.

Last week, Microsoft released the 2025 TechSpark Impact Report, which highlights how the company is assisting regions across the US in achieving these goals. Since its launch, TechSpark has obtained over $700 million in community funding, supported more than 65,000 people in developing digital skills, and, thanks to the work of TechSpark Fellows, catalyzed $249M+ in funding and upskilled 34,600 individuals across 46 communities — highlighting the ripple effect of local leadership and innovation. Learn more about this progress in the 2025 report here.

Members of the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) hold a flag in the divided city of Deir al-Zor, Syria December 7, 2024.
REUTERS

¼: The new Syrian government has signed a ceasefire with US-backed Kurdish fighters who control roughly a quarter of Syria’s territory, in a pact that could smooth the re-integration of Kurdish areas into the Syrian state.