April 09, 2026
Ivan Krastev tells Ian Bremmer that the Iran war has deepened a dangerous uncertainty across the continent: people don't know what President Trump wants to achieve, and after the "easy victory" in Venezuela, they fear where he'll turn next.
Poland is, Krastev notes, "probably one of the most pro-American places in Europe", and a recent Polish poll asked respondents to name the major threats to world peace. Russia came first. But in second and third place: Trump's United States and Israel. "This is new," Krastev says, "and this is a major development."
The fallout isn't just about public opinion. For Europe's new right and the parties that built their identities around alignment with Trump, the Iran war has created a disorienting moment. They had "the feeling that they're on the same page," Krastev says, "and now they're not sure."
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In his latest Quick Take, Ian Bremmer weighs in on President Trump’s intervention with FIFA after US star Flo Balogun received a red card suspension ahead of the team’s match against Belgium.
How do the choices of the past help us navigate the future? Microsoft's new video series explores pivotal moments in US history and the decisions that helped shape innovation, opportunity, and progress. By connecting historical turning points to today's technology and policy questions, the series offers a perspective on the choices that continue to shape what comes next. Watch the first episode here.
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