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The day after announcing her candidacy for the 2027 presidential election, Marine Le Pen visits La Fleche, in the Sarthe department, on July 8, 2026.​
by ian bremmer

Europe’s most consequential vote since Brexit starts now

After a French court shortened her ban on holding public office, Marine Le Pen announced that she will run for president again next year. But can she finally win?

Out of Le Pen-alty box
Hard Numbers

Out of Le Pen-alty box

Le Pen, who leads the National Rally party, can run for president for a fourth time next year in 2027, after the Paris Court of Appeals shortened her ban on holding public office.

US President Donald Trump holds a red penalty card that was presented to him by FIFA President Gianni Infantino in the Oval Office of the White House, in Washington, D.C., USA, on August 28, 2018.
What We're Watching

FIFA rescinds US suspension after Trump call, Ali Khamenei’s funeral has a notable absentee, French court to rule on Le Pen’s eligibility

Donald Trump's phone call to Gianni Infantino has raised questions about FIFA's credibility.

FIFA President Gianni Infantino in Mexico City, Mexico, on June 10, 2026.
Analysis

Can a World Cup host score a political goal?

For governments, a home World Cup can be a political gift. But the benefits often prove short-lived. GZERO runs through three such cases in history.

​Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Leader of the Dutch Party for Freedom Geert Wilders, French far-right leader Marine Le Pen, and Italy's deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Infrastructure and Transport Matteo Salvini in Budapest, Hungary, on March 23, 2026.
Analysis

Has far-right populism peaked in Europe?

Viktor Orbán’s defeat in Sunday’s Hungarian election could be a tipping point on the continent.

Marine Le Pen, French member of parliament and parliamentary leader of the far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National - RN) party and Jordan Bardella, president of the French far-right National Rally (Rassemblement National - RN) party and member of the European Parliament, gesture during an RN political rally in Bordeaux, France, September 14, 2025.
Hard Numbers

Hard Numbers: France’s Bardella would win an election today, Trump’s support among Latinos falls, Fox hunts for a seat in the Bahamas, and Hitler returns

​Jordan Bardella, president of Rassemblement National or National Rally, gives a speech and flies French flags at a rally in support of Marine le Pen after her conviction on April 6, 2025.
What We're Watching

Could Jordan Bardella become France’s youngest president?

Jordan Bardella, the 29-year-old president of France’s far-right National Rally, aka RN, has announced his readiness to run for the country’s presidency in 2027 if current party leader Marine Le Pen remains barred from contesting the race.

​Marine Le Pen spoke at a support rally organized in Paris on Sunday.
What We're Watching

Le Pen supporters protest her electoral ban in Paris

Thousands of supporters of France’s far right gathered at Place Vauban in Paris on Sunday to support Marine Le Pen, leader of the National Rally party. The three-time presidential candidate was recently convicted of embezzling European Union funds to pay staff, resulting in a five-year ban on holding public office, effectively barring her from France’s 2027 presidential election.

​French far-right leader Marine Le Pen
What We're Watching

Le Pen barred from running from office after embezzlement conviction

Oh là là! A French court on Monday found National Rally leader Marine Le Pen guilty of misappropriating European funds to her far-right party, and barred the three-time presidential candidate barred from running for office for the next five years. Le Pen has denied wrongdoing and said last November, “It’s my political death that’s being demanded.”

​France National Front presidential candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen addresses a political rally in Lille on Feb. 25, 2007.
Analysis

Father of the French far right dies

Jean-Marie Le Pen, whose ultranationalist and conservative views enraged millions but also shaped the contemporary French political scene, died on Tuesday at 96.