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BREXIT: THE END OF THE ANGUISH?

BREXIT: THE END OF THE ANGUISH?

By the end of today, we'll probably know whether there's any Brexit plan that UK legislators can actually agree on.

After seizing control over the Brexit process earlier this week, the UK House of Commons will now cast non-binding votes on seven different versions of Brexit, ranging from "no deal" all the way to continued deep integration with the EU.

Being that parliament has already twice rejected the deal that Prime Minister Theresa May reached with the EU, today's votes seem to offer a new way out of the Brexit deadlock.

But as the UK has shown time and time again with Brexit, nothing is as simple as it seems.


For one thing, Mrs. May has already suggested that she isn't interested in supporting any new plan that comes out of today's parliamentary votes, particularly if it's one that envisions a "softer" Brexit than what her Tory party can stand.

Instead, she still wants to schedule one more vote for her own deal, which could come as soon as Thursday. But it's hard to see that twice-rejected deal doing much better in a third go around. If it fails again, new elections might be the only way forward.

Time is of the essence. The EU has given the UK until April 12 to agree to a final Brexit deal, because it wants Brexit resolved before European parliamentary elections in May. If that means a "no deal" exit, the EU has said: so be it.

The clear signal: Today's parliamentary votes will create the chance for a compromise that could end the anguish of Brexit – but we are skeptical that British lawmakers and politicians are sufficiently interested in compromise.

Khant Thaw Htoo is a young engineer who works in Eni's Sakura Tower office in the heart of Yangon. As an HSE engineer, he monitors the safety and environmental impact of onshore and offshore operations. He also looks out for his parents' well-being, in keeping with Myanmar's traditions.

Learn more about Khant in the final episode of the Faces of Eni series, which focuses on Eni's employees around the world.

On his first day as president, Joe Biden signed a remarkable series of executive orders. Boom! The US rejoins the Paris Climate Accord. Bang! The United States rejoins the World Health Organization. Pow! No more ban on immigration from many Muslim-majority countries. Biden's press secretary reminded reporters later in the day that all these orders merely begin complex processes that take time, but the impact is still dramatic.

If you lead a country allied with the US, or you're simply hoping for some specific commitment or clear and credible statement of purpose from the US government, you might feel a little dizzy today. The sight of an American president (Barack Obama) signing his name, of the next president (Donald Trump) erasing that name from the same legislation/bill, and then the following president (Biden) signing it back into law again will raise deep concerns over the long-term reliability of the world's still-most-powerful nation.

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"There needs to be a dramatic and deep reduction in the amount of debt on the poorest countries. That's clear." As the world's poorest nations struggle to recover from a devastating pandemic, World Bank President David Malpass argues that freeing them of much of their debt will be key. His conversation with Ian Bremmer is part of the latest episode of GZERO World.

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Ian Bremmer discusses the World In (more than) 60 Seconds:

Biden's first scheduled call with a world leader will be with Canada's Justin Trudeau. What's going on with the Keystone Pipeline?

Well, Biden said that that's it. Executive order, one of the first is that he will stop any construction or development of the Keystone Pipeline. This is of course an oil pipeline that would allow further oil sands oil to come to the United States. The infrastructure is significantly overstretched, it's led to backlogs, inefficiency, accidents, all the rest, but it also facilitates more energy development and keeps prices comparatively down if you get it done. So, there are lots of reasons why the energy sector in Canada wants it. Having said all of that, Trudeau, even though he's been a supporter of Keystone XL, let's keep in mind that he did not win support in Alberta, which is where the big energy patch in Canada is located. This is a real problem for the government of Alberta, Canada is a very decentralized federal government, even more so than the United States. The premier of Alberta is immensely unhappy with Biden right now, they've taken a $1.5 billion equity stake in the project. I expect there will actually be litigation against the United States by the government of Alberta. But Trudeau is quite happy with Biden, his relationship was Trump was always walking on eggshells. The USMCA in negotiations ultimately successful but were very challenging for the Canadians, so too with the way Trump engaged in relations on China. All of this, the fact that Trump left the nuclear agreement with Iran, the Paris Climate Accords, WHO, all of that is stuff that Trudeau strongly opposed. He's going to be much more comfortable with this relationship. He's delighted that the first call from Biden is to him. And it certainly creates a level of normalcy in the US-Canada relationship that is very much appreciated by our neighbors to the North.

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The GZERO World Podcast with Ian Bremmer. Listen now.

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