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U.S. President Joe Biden campaigns in support of Democrats in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S.

Reuters

US midterms: Did Democrats blow it?

Bracing for some big losses in midterm elections on Tuesday, many Democrats are expressing disbelief at their impending doom. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi recently told the New York Times, “I cannot believe anybody would vote for these people,” referring to Republicans on the ballot.

With Democrats fighting to retain control of Congress and with some formerly safe blue seats now up for grabs, many analysts are asking whether the Dems’ poor electoral prospects were inevitable – the curse of incumbency – or if the party shot itself in the foot with out-of-touch electioneering.

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Ari Winkleman

Will a GOP House speaker be able to control an unruly caucus?

The US Senate race could go either way, but most pundits and polls point to the House of Representatives turning red after Tuesday’s midterm elections.

Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to flip that chamber, and they are on track to do just that, and then some. Indeed, most polls suggest a double-digit gain for the GOP – not a red wave per se but still a sizable win.

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Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker.

Paige Fusco

The trouble with Herschel

Signal’s Willis Sparks writes about his Georgia roots and how the world craves authenticity from political leaders.

Where I come from, there are two important institutions – church and football – and worship takes place in both.

I’m a Georgia Bulldog. Unlike the previous four generations of my family, I graduated from a different school, but my family ties to the University of Georgia extend back to the 1850s, and I’ve been watching Georgia football games in Sanford Stadium since 1972. I’m what you call a Dawg to the bone.

I was in Knoxville, Tennessee, on September 6, 1980, when a teenage recruit named Herschel Walker made his legendary college football debut by steamrolling defenders and shocking a sellout crowd of 102,000 fans of a rival team.

I was there for every Athens, Georgia, home game in 1980 as freshman Herschel led my Dawgs to the Promised Land, a national championship. I was there through 1981 and 1982, when Herschel won the Heisman Trophy as college football’s best player.

You have to understand … He stood six feet, two inches tall, weighed 220 pounds, and had Olympic-sprinter speed. That’s not natural. He seemed, to steal a phrase from Shakespeare, to be “made of some other matter than earth.” His performances inspired the wide-eyed shaking of heads.

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Ari Winkleman

Are US state courts the new battleground?

With Midterm Matters, we are counting down to the US midterm elections on Nov. 8 by separating the signal from the noise on election-related news.

The perception that the US Supreme Court is a partisan institution has increased in recent years. Just 25% of Americans now say that they have confidence in the court, down from an average of 47% between 1973 and 2006, according to Gallup. Confidence in the court has even waned among Republicans, with less than 40% of GOP voters now expressing confidence in the court, compared to 53% in 2020.

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GZERO Media

Hard Numbers: Biden threatens oil companies, Georgia runoff odds, the impacts of gerrymandering, will Oregon flip?

173 billion: President Joe Biden threatened to hit oil companies with a windfall tax if they don’t invest their profits to help ease prices for consumers facing sky-high gas prices as a result of Russia’s war in Ukraine. The collective profits of the seven largest private drillers is nearing $173 billion so far this year. Biden’s threat comes as US voters overwhelmingly cite bread-and-butter issues as the main factor impacting their vote.

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Ari Winkleman

Overturning a US election ain't that easy

With Midterm Matters, we are counting down to the US midterm elections on Nov. 8 by separating the signal from the noise on election-related news.

A leading concern for many American voters on the left is that many candidates on next Tuesday’s ballots say the 2020 presidential election was stolen from Donald Trump. That’s not just because they find that opinion indefensible and willfully dumb; it’s because some of these candidates are running for offices that give them access to the processes by which future elections will be held and votes counted.

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US Midterms: All About Trump | GZERO World

How Trump dominates the GOP & "impressed" these DC journalists

Former US President Donald Trump may not be on the ballot for the upcoming midterm elections, but yet again he'll loom large over the vote. Especially for Republicans.

The election is all "about his dominance of the party. It's about currying favor with the king," New York Times journalist Peter Baker tells Ian Bremmer on GZERO World.

Baker — who's co-authored a new book about the Trump presidency with The New Yorker staff writer Susan Glasser — believes one thing Trump accomplished in his four years in the White House was becoming the most transparent president in US history.

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China Will Be Exactly The Same With Xi Securing His Third Term | World In :60 | GZERO Media

Under Xi's third term, China will stay exactly the same

Ian Bremmer shares his insights on global politics this week on World In 60 Seconds.

Will China become more assertive with Xi securing his third term?

I don't think so. I think it's going to be pretty much exactly the same. Okay everyone's going to be watching whether you get technocrats in key economic positions or not. If you do, they're going to say, "Oh, it's going to be more balanced." If you don't, they're going to say, "Xi's going to crack down." In reality, he's in charge and he's been in charge and he is going to be in charge. And that really means driving a more domestically focused economy with more local supply chain, more focused on local consumption, and more state capitalism probably means a little bit less productivity and efficiency as well. Plus zero-COVID keeps going, so I don't think it changes that much.

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