Skip to content
Search

Latest Stories

US & Canada

Will Republicans really slash  Medicaid?

Will Republicans really slash  Medicaid?

Speaker of the House Mike Johnson (R-LA) at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) at the Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center in National Harbor, Maryland on February 20, 2025

Jack Gruber-USA TODAY

This week, House Republicans are expected to vote on a budget measure that would fund an extension of President Donald Trump’s first-term tax cuts by taking an axe to one of America’s key entitlement programs: Medicaid.

What’s Medicaid? A joint federal and state program that funds medical care for low-income people. About a quarter of Americans are enrolled directly, and two-thirds say they or their family members have benefitted from the program.


What would the measure do? Slash $2 trillion from the federal budget over the next decade, including about $800 billion from Medicaid. The Medicaid cuts would come by placing per-capita limits on federal funding, narrowing states’ tax options for funding Medicaid, and imposing work requirements on recipients.

The debate: The GOP says these measures will root out waste and abuse, shift more of the burden onto states, which know their own needs better, and incentivize recipients to get off the dole.

Critics say the sweeping reductions would harm the poor by slashing their access to health care while funding tax cuts that disproportionately benefit the wealthy.

What’s Trump saying? He said he would “love and cherish” Medicaid, along with its related old-age benefit programs, Medicare and Social Security, which the GOP has said it wouldn’t touch. But Trump has also endorsed the budget resolution.

How the people see it: Strong majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents view Medicaid favorably, according to recent polling by the Kaiser Family Foundation.

The GOP’s dilemma: The party is committed to cuts in taxes and spending, but several GOP districts with large populations of Medicaid recipients are up in arms. And given the GOP’s razor-thin House majority, and unified Democratic opposition, the Republicans can’t afford to lose more than a single vote in the House.

More For You

Revisiting the top geopolitical risks of 2025
- YouTube
Before turning to Top Risks 2026, Ian Bremmer looks back at how this year’s Top Risks 2025 actually performed. [...]
US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, during a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.

Yonhap News/POOL/Handout via Sipa USA
Every January, Eurasia Group, GZERO’s parent company, unveils a forecast of the top 10 geopolitical risks for the world in the year ahead, authored by EG President Ian Bremmer and EG Chairman Cliff Kupchan. The 2026 report drops on Monday, January 5.Before looking forward, though, it’s worth looking back. Here’s how the 2025 Top Risks report [...]
Is the US heading toward military strikes in Venezuela?
- YouTube
Ian Bremmer breaks down the steady escalation of US pressure on Venezuela and why direct military action is now a real possibility.Over recent months, the Trump administration has tightened sanctions, seized oil tankers, shut down Venezuelan airspace, targeted drug trafficking routes, and deployed growing military assets to the region. Ian [...]
US President Donald Trump announces tariffs on US trading partners at the White House in Washington, DC, USA, on April 2, 2025.

US President Donald Trump arrives to announce reciprocal tariffs against US trading partners in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, USA, on April 2, 2025.

POOL via CNP/INSTARimages.com
As GZERO readers will be all too aware, 2025 has been a hefty year for geopolitics. US President Donald Trump’s return to office has rocked global alliances, conflicts have raged from Khartoum to Kashmir, and new powers – both tangible and technological – have emerged.To put a bow on the year, GZERO highlights the biggest geopolitics stories of 2025. [...]