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What We Are Watching & What We Are Ignoring

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING

DR Congo Election results – When results of Sunday's presidential election are announced, Joseph Kabila's 17-year rule will come to an end. This is supposed to be the strife-torn country's first-ever orderly transfer of power. Maybe. But there are charges of voting irregularity and reports that opposition TV and radio stations have been pushed off the air.



China and Taiwan China's President Xi Jinping warned during a tough speech this week that "reunification" of China and Taiwan is inevitable and that China reserves the right to ensure that happens by any means necessary. There's no imminent risk of war here, but Xi is making clear that China will exert heavy pressure to get the outcome it wants in Taiwan's presidential election next year. There's also still a risk that Trump increases tensions by trying to use US support for Taiwan as a bargaining chip in the broader US-China conflict.

WHAT WE'RE IGNORING

The Khashoggi trial As part of efforts to shift blame for the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi away from Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman, 11 Saudis are now on trial for the killing. We're ignoring this story, because show trials don't have surprise endings.

The Search for Napoleon's Gold Russian historian Viacheslav Ryzhkov says Napoleon's retreating army buried tons of stolen Russian treasure under a lake near Russia's border with Belarus in 1812. After painstaking research and careful consideration, we think Ryzhkov is full of crap. If he finds any gold, we'll write an update.

Carbon has a bad rep, but did you know it's a building block of life? As atoms evolved, carbon trapped in CO2 was freed, giving way to the creation of complex molecules that use photosynthesis to convert carbon to food. Soon after, plants, herbivores, and carnivores began populating the earth and the cycle of life began.

Learn more about how carbon created life on Earth in the second episode of Eni's Story of CO2 series.

As we enter the homestretch of the US presidential election — which is set to be the most contentious, and possibly contested, in generations — Americans are also voting on 35 seats up for grabs in a battle for the control of the Senate. The 100-member body is currently held 53-47 by the Republican Party, but many individual races are wide open, and the Democrats are confident they can flip the upper chamber of Congress.

Either way, the result will have a profound impact not only on domestic policy, but also on US foreign relations and other issues with global reach. Here are a few areas where what US senators decide reverberates well beyond American shores.

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On September 23, GZERO Media — in partnership with Microsoft and Eurasia Group — gathered global experts to discuss global recovery from the coronavirus pandemic in a livestream panel. Our panel for the discussion Crisis Response & Recovery: Reimagining while Rebuilding, included:

  • Brad Smith, President, Microsoft
  • Ian Bremmer, President and Founder, Eurasia Group & GZERO Media
  • Jeh Johnson, Partner, Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton & Garrison, LLP and former Secretary of Homeland Security.
  • John Frank, Vice President, UN Affairs at Microsoft
  • Susan Glasser, staff writer and Washington columnist, The New Yorker (moderator)

Special appearances by UN Secretary-General António Guterres, European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde, and comedian/host Trevor Noah.

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Jon Lieber, who leads Eurasia Group's coverage of political and policy developments in Washington, offers insights on the Supreme Court vacancy:

Will Senate Republicans, who stopped a Supreme Court nomination in 2016, because it was too close to an election, pay a political price for the change in tactics this time around?

Not only do I think they won't pay a political price, I think in many cases, they're going to benefit. Changing the balance of power on the Supreme Court has been a career-long quest for many conservatives and many Republicans. And that's why you've seen so many of them fall in line behind the President's nomination before we even know who it is.

At this point, do Senate Democrats have any hope of stopping President Trump from filling the ninth seat on the Supreme Court?

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In a special GZERO Media livestream on global response and recovery amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Eurasia Group & GZERO Media president Ian Bremmer discussed the difference between Europe's unified approach to economic stimulus and the deeply divided and political nature of the current conversation in the US. While initial stimulus support was bipartisan, there is little chance of Democrats and Republicans coming together again ahead of the November 3 presidential election. "It's red state versus blue state. President Trump's saying that coronavirus isn't so bad if you take the blue states out. He's president of the blue states, you can't take the blue states out," Bremmer told moderator Susan Glasser of The New Yorker.

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Panel: How will the world recover from COVID-19?

UNGA Livestream