Russia's invasion of Ukraine has pushed long-neutral Finland into openly embracing NATO, which would not go down well in Moscow.

Still, former PM Alexander Stubb tells Ian Bremmer that "we Finns are pretty calm, cool and collected" and that the response to Vladimir Putin should be that we understand your issues, but "we are a sovereign, independent nation-state and take our own security [and] political decisions."

He believes Putin will ultimately fail at the three things he's trying to accomplish: annex Ukraine; push back NATO's borders to where during the Cold War; and prevent Finland and Sweden from joining the alliance.

What's more, Stubb points out that with his actions Putin has probably caused a permanent change in public opinion among Finns and Swedes.

"The train has left the station. Finland is moving toward full NATO membership," he says. "It's not gonna happen today, it's not gonna happen next week, but it will eventually happen."

Watch the episode of GZERO World: Putin past the point of no return

More For You

US President Donald Trump participates in an arrival ceremony at Beijing Capital International Airport during his visit to the country, in Beijing, China, on May 13, 2026.
REUTERS/Evan Vucci

Xi Jinping will welcome Donald Trump with lots of pomp and circumstance. The summit, though, will be short on substance.

- YouTube

Ian Bremmer breaks down the complicated reality inside Venezuela after Nicolás Maduro’s removal from power. While the Trump administration sees the operation as a major foreign policy victory, Ian argues the harder challenge is only beginning; turning Venezuela into a stable economy and a representative democracy.

Noam Bettan from Israel with the song "Michelle" are on stage at the 70th Eurovision Song Contest (ESC) during rehearsals for the first semi-final on May 12, 2026, in the Stadthalle.
Jens Büttner/dpa via Reuters Connect

Even Eurovision cannot escape geopolitics, South Africa’s constitutional court opens door to Ramaphosa impeachment vote, Zelensky’s former right-hand man accused in corruption probe