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Trump, Putin, and Zelensky surrounded by tanks and negotiators.
by ian bremmer

The Ukraine peace push is failing. Here's why.

Nearly four years into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the push to end the war is intensifying. The past few weeks produced not one but two proposals.

At least 25 people, including three children, were killed in a Russian drone and missile assault on Ternopil, in western Ukraine, overnight on Wednesday (19November2025), according to Ukrainian rescue services.
What We're Watching

What We’re Watching: US apparently drafts covert plan to end Ukraine war, World’s most valuable firm set for earnings call, Sectarian violence trials begin in Syria

The US has apparently been secretly drafting plans with Russia to end the war in Ukraine, per Axios, raising questions of whether Ukraine would accept a deal made without its input.

Trump shifts on Russia: From carrots to sticks in Ukraine war
ask ian

Trump shifts on Russia: From carrots to sticks in Ukraine war

For years, US policy toward Russia’s war in Ukraine has swung between extremes. Under Biden, “all stick, no carrot.” Under Trump, “all carrot, no stick.” Ian Bremmer says both approaches failed to change Vladimir Putin’s calculus. What’s different now?

​A combination picture shows Russian President Vladimir Putin during a meeting with Arkhangelsk Region Governor Alexander Tsybulsky in Severodvinsk, Arkhangelsk region, Russia July 24, 2025.
Analysis

In Alaska, the clock favors Putin

In negotiations, the most desperate party rarely gets the best terms. As Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin meet in Alaska today to discuss ending the Ukraine War, their diverging timelines may shape what deals emerge – if any.

Trump and Putin's Alaska showdown is all about oil
The Debrief

Trump and Putin's Alaska showdown is all about oil

Trump and Putin are heading to Alaska this Friday for a summit to end the war in Ukraine, but both leaders will have the price of oil very much on their minds, says Eurasia Group's Gregory Brew in the first episode of The Debrief.

Ukraine’s drone strike shocks Russia and redefines modern warfare
Quick Take

Ukraine’s drone strike shocks Russia and redefines modern warfare

Ukraine’s unprecedented drone strike deep inside Russian territory destroyed up to 20 aircraft, including nuclear-capable bombers and early warning systems.

Rescuers search for a 17-year-old and his parents near an apartment building hit by a Russian missile strike, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, on April 24, 2025.
What We're Watching

A “critical” week for Ukraine

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Monday that this week is “very critical” for Donald Trump’s plan to end the war in Ukraine. Russia’s Vladimir Putin made news on Monday by offering a three-day ceasefire beginning on May 8, a move perhaps motivated by skeptical recent comments from Trump on Russia’s willingness to bargain in good faith.

Ukrainian troops are fighting in Belgorod, according to President Volodymyr Zelensky.
What We're Watching

Chinese troops in Ukraine?

President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Tuesday that Ukrainian forces had captured two Chinese nationals on the battlefield who were fighting alongside Russian troops, and he claimed his country’s security service had “information suggesting that there are many more Chinese citizens in the occupier’s units.”

Volodymyr Zelensky
What We're Watching

Trump and Zelensky phone call keeps talks “on track”

Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky had a phone call on Wednesday that had supporters of Ukraine’s defense on the edge of their seats. The Ukrainian leader later said he agreed to a partial ceasefire and is set to address EU leaders, who are gathering in Brussels today, by video link.

About that (Trump-Putin) phone call
by ian bremmer

About that (Trump-Putin) phone call

A 90-minute-plus phone call between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin yesterday scored some points for both the Americans and Russians, and without directly undermining Ukraine or the Europeans. But it’s what the two presidents couldn’t agree on that shows us the large potholes on the road ahead toward lasting peace.