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Ben White's Iowa caucus predictions

Ben White's Iowa caucus predictions

Ben White, Chief Economic Correspondent for Politico, with his Special Iowa Caucus edition of US Politics In :60 Seconds!

So, it's finally here. Voters are actually voting, or I should say caucusing, to be more precise. So, what's going to happen?

Typically, the conventional wisdom is there's three tickets out of Iowa. I don't think that's going to be true this year. I think there's a pretty good chance that Bernie Sanders comes in first. I think that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren will be fighting for second place. Klobuchar and Buttigieg fighting for third and fourth. But I think the result will be kind of muddled. So, I think there may actually be six tickets coming out of Iowa.

You got Sanders, Biden, Warren, Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Yang. So, we all just move on to New Hampshire and that might not clear things up either. This is one of the more muddled Democratic fields in a long time. There are a lot of Democrats who don't want to see Sanders get the nomination. So, there'll be tons of jockeying. Then we get to Super Tuesday and then we get the Bloomberg effect. How many delegates does he get? Does he take some away from Biden? So, very important to watch Iowa tonight, see if Sanders has momentum. But even if Bernie Sanders wins, he might not win by a lot. And I don't think it's going to tell us all that much. So, we'll all just move on down the road.


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