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How likely is an early election in the UK?

UK: How likely is an early election?

More likely than not because both Boris Johnson, the Conservatives, Labour, everyone wants to find a way to avoid a no-deal Brexit and the easiest way to do that is to push for an election. Who wins that election? Anybody's guess at this point.

Hong Kong: Will Carrie Lam eventually resign?

I think it's a little more likely now that it's become public that she said she can't resign because the Chinese government isn't allowing her to. But still, until you get an end to this crisis, that probably requires both some people getting tired but also the military intervening, I think Carrie Lam is still there.

Germany: How significant are the far right's gains in regional elections?

They're very significant. They are in former East Germany, where the Germans are pretty upset that they have been left behind, so not a surprise. Kind of like Appalachian Germany. But now they're picking up in the mid 20 percent. You've got the main governing coalition is getting weaker government, probably eventually falls apart. And that's going to be a problem for Germany. But still, you don't have populism like in other countries.

Finally, Afghanistan: Will the U.S.-Taliban deal last?

Well sure, it'll last long enough for Trump to get American troops out and while it's not going to fix Afghanistan, it will be seen in the United States as a win for Trump internationally, one he's had a hard time getting done in a lot of other places like North Korea and Iran.

Empathy and listening are key to establishing harmonious relationships, as demonstrated by Callista Azogu, GM of Human Resources & Organization for Nigerian Agip Oil Company (NAOC), an Eni subsidiary in Abuja. "To build trust is very difficult. To destroy it is very easy," says Callista, whose busy days involve everything from personnel issues to union relationships. She sees great potential for her native Nigeria not only because of the country's natural resources, but because of its vibrant and creative people.

Learn more about Callista in this episode of Faces of Eni.

Saturday will mark the beginning of an historic turning point for European politics as 1,001 voting members of Germany's Christian Democratic Union, the party of Chancellor Angela Merkel, hold an online conference to elect a new leader.

Here are the basic facts:

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If former Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson could give incoming Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas advice, what would it be? "Well, first I would say, 'Ali, I'm glad it's you, not me.'" His conversation with Ian Bremmer was part of the latest episode of GZERO World.

Listen: For the first time in twenty years extreme poverty around the world is growing. How does the developing world recover from a pandemic that has brought even the richest nations to their knees? David Malpass, the President of the World Bank, is tasked with answering that question. He joins Ian Bremmer on the podcast to talk about how his organization is trying to keep the developing world from slipping further into poverty in the wake of a once-in-a-century pandemic.

Does Cuba belong back on the US's State Sponsors of Terrorism list? The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board showed their support for Secretary of State Mike Pompeo's decision on this issue in a recent opinion piece, "Cuba's Support for Terror." But in this edition of The Red Pen, Ian Bremmer and Eurasia Group analysts Risa Grais-Targow, Jeffrey Wright and Regina Argenzio argue that the WSJ's op-ed goes too far.

We are now just a few days away from the official end of Donald Trump's presidency, but the impacts of his latest moves in office will obviously last far beyond Joe Biden's inauguration. There's the deep structural political polarization, the ongoing investigations into the violence we saw at the Capitol, lord knows what happens over the next few days, there's also last-minute policy decisions here and abroad. And that's where we're taking our Red Pen this week, specifically US relations with Cuba.

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The GZERO World Podcast with Ian Bremmer. Listen now.


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