How Long Will the House Impeachment Inquiry Last?

How long do you think the impeachment inquiry into President Trump will last?

Not terribly long. Democrats are eager to move quickly. It's why you see the House Intelligence Committee still working this week, with the rest of Congress on recess. They definitely want to have it done by the end of this year so look for a fast process.

Does President Trump still have the confidence of the Republican Party?

Well he has the confidence of Republican voters where his numbers remain very high. I think there are some wavering privately among Republican officials on Capitol Hill, even in the Senate. So, I think if the political numbers were to move for Trump you might see his support on the Hill become shaky.

What political story is getting swamped by all of the attention on impeachment?

Well I think there are a couple of them. One being the USMCA the successor to NAFTA could get lost in all of this. Not much time for Congress to work on it by the end of the year. That could be a real problem if USMCA isn't passed and perhaps NAFTA goes away. The other, the big cut to the number of refugees that the United States accepts every year. That's got kind of lost in impeachment but definitely a change from the way America usually treats refugees. So, there are a couple of things that are getting swamped.

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A year of Biden

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Subscribe to the GZERO World Podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Stitcher, or your preferred podcast platform to receive new episodes as soon as they're published.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a meeting with his Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi in Moscow, Russia January 19, 2022.

Iran and Russia heart each other. The presidents of Iran and Russia have little in common personally, but they share many geopolitical interests, including in Afghanistan and Syria. They also have a common resolve in countering "the West.” These issues are all on the agenda as Vladimir Putin and Ebrahim Raisi held their first in-person meeting in Moscow. Raisi is a hardline cleric who leads a theocracy with nuclear ambitions. Vladimir Putin, meanwhile, is a wily autocrat who enjoys provoking America and Europe, and has ambitions to return to the glory days of the territorially expansive Soviet Union — as seen with the Kremlin's recent provocations on the Ukrainian border. With the Iran nuclear talks on life support and Joe Biden already bracing for Russian troops crossing into Ukraine, Tehran and Moscow now have even more reasons to scheme and cooperate. Indeed, Moscow and Tehran have increasingly been cooperating on energy and security issues (Iran might be buying Russian military technology) as their respective relations with the West deteriorate.

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A year of Biden

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Can we control AI before it controls us?

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Should China learn to live with COVID?

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China vs COVID in 2022

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