How Long Will the House Impeachment Inquiry Last?

How long do you think the impeachment inquiry into President Trump will last?

Not terribly long. Democrats are eager to move quickly. It's why you see the House Intelligence Committee still working this week, with the rest of Congress on recess. They definitely want to have it done by the end of this year so look for a fast process.

Does President Trump still have the confidence of the Republican Party?

Well he has the confidence of Republican voters where his numbers remain very high. I think there are some wavering privately among Republican officials on Capitol Hill, even in the Senate. So, I think if the political numbers were to move for Trump you might see his support on the Hill become shaky.

What political story is getting swamped by all of the attention on impeachment?

Well I think there are a couple of them. One being the USMCA the successor to NAFTA could get lost in all of this. Not much time for Congress to work on it by the end of the year. That could be a real problem if USMCA isn't passed and perhaps NAFTA goes away. The other, the big cut to the number of refugees that the United States accepts every year. That's got kind of lost in impeachment but definitely a change from the way America usually treats refugees. So, there are a couple of things that are getting swamped.

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William Hague: What is my prediction for the election?

Well, I think that conservatives will definitely have a bigger lead in votes over the Labour Party than at the last election, two years ago. Now that should give them a majority in the House of Commons. But then there will be tactical voting between Labour and Liberal voters against the Conservatives. And there are many undecided people at the last minute. So, I would go for a small conservative majority, maybe around 20 seats, which is also what some of the most sophisticated pollsters have said.

David Miliband: Who do you predict will win the UK elections?

I'm very careful about predictions, especially about the future, as someone famously said. The polls are pretty clear that this has been a dismal campaign, an unpopularity contest in all sorts of ways in which the lesser of two evils is perceived by the voters to be a conservative vote. So, the polls are giving a range of possibilities from a hung parliament right through to a large conservative majority. Obviously, I don't know who's going to win. My tour around the country last week gave me a real sense, a yearning really, for a better choice, for better choices, for more fronting up by the parties, because both parties have done a job of avoiding some of the hardest choices. And so, I predict that whoever wins, there are some very difficult choices ahead. And the sooner that politics is about what you're asking for as well as what you're offering. As Tawney said, after Labour lost the 1931 election, "we offered too much and asked too little." The sooner politics is about shared endeavor, the better for the country.

After a months-long investigation into whether President Donald Trump pressured Ukraine's president into investigating his political rivals in order to boost his reelection prospects in 2020, House Democrats brought two articles of impeachment against him, charging him with abuse of power and obstruction of Congress. Click here for our GZERO guide to what comes next.

In the meantime, imagine for a moment that you are now Mitch McConnell, Senate Majority leader and senior member of Donald Trump's Republican Party. You've got big choices to make.

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Trump gets his deal – House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced yesterday that Democrats will back the USMCA, the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement that will replace the North American Free Trade Agreement. Crucially, the bill will also have support from the nation's largest labor union. This is a major political victory for President Trump, who promised he would close this deal, but it's also good for Pelosi: it shows that the Democrats' House majority can still accomplish big things even as it impeaches the president. But with the speed of the Washington news cycle these days, we're watching to see if anyone is still talking about USMCA three days after it's signed.

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