Skip to content
Search

Latest Stories

News

McCarthy’s promise to Trump could split House Republicans

U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy

U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy

REUTERS

Republican Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy needs to decide whether to keep his promise to Donald Trump about calling for a vote to expunge the former president's two impeachments, the second of which was for his actions during the Jan. 6 riots.

Such a vote would force GOP House members to publicly denounce Trump or condone his actions – just as Trump is facing possible indictment for allegedly inciting the Jan. 6 riots. But McCarthy made a deal, and Trump is coming to collect.


Here’s the background. Last month, McCarthy found himself in the doghouse after suggesting on TV that Trump may not be the strongest GOP presidential candidate. Trump – who was pivotal in McCarthy’s rise to power – demanded the speaker endorse his campaign. But McCarthy, not ready to tie himself to Trump, stalled by promising to call the vote before Congress adjourns in August.

You’ll recall that McCarthy won the speakership by making the concession that only one GOP member is needed to call for his resignation, giving Trump’s allies in the house – who have threatened to oust McCarthy before – outsized power to hold the speaker to his word.

Many GOP House members, particularly those in Biden-won districts, aren’t keen to revisit the impeachments, especially the one regarding Jan. 6. Polling shows that most Americans disapprove of Trump’s actions during the insurrection. Meanwhile, constitutionally minded conservatives are questioning whether the House has the authority to erase an impeachment.

Jon Leiber, head of Eurasia Group’s US practice, says that “there is no constitutional process for expungement of an impeachment vote,” which gives Republicans a procedural scapegoat.

But regardless of whether McCarthy makes good on his promise, Trump won’t be satisfied until McCarthy endorses his candidacy, and he will continue to use his allies in the House to apply pressure if McCarthy waits too long.

More For You

Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear power plant, one of the world's largest nuclear facilities, stands along the seaside in Kashiwazaki, Niigata prefecture, Japan December 21, 2025.

Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO)'s Kashiwazaki Kariwa nuclear power plant, one of the world's largest nuclear facilities, stands along the seaside in Kashiwazaki, Niigata prefecture, Japan December 21, 2025.

REUTERS/Issei Kato
54: Japan is reopening the world’s largest nuclear power plant after a regional vote gave the greenlight on Monday. The Kashiwazaki-Kariwa plant, located 136 miles outside of Tokyo, had its 54 reactors shuttered following the 2011 earthquake and tsunami that spurred the worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl. The decision reflects Japan’s push to [...]
Pro-democracy protesters carry portraits of North Yemen's late president Ibrahim al-Hamdi.

Pro-democracy protesters carry portraits of North Yemen's late president Ibrahim al-Hamdi.

REUTERS/Khaled Abdullah
Group of Yemeni ministers announce support for UAE-backed rebel coalitionIn the latest twist to Yemen’s decade-long civil war, a group of government ministers declared support for the UAE-backed Southern Transitional Council (STC), a rebel group that broke the war’s deadlock earlier this month by seizing control of the oil-rich Handramout region. [...]
US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.

US President Donald Trump speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, during a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base in Gimhae, South Korea, on October 30, 2025.

Yonhap News/POOL/Handout via Sipa USA
Every January, Eurasia Group, GZERO’s parent company, unveils a forecast of the top 10 geopolitical risks for the world in the year ahead, authored by EG President Ian Bremmer and EG Chairman Cliff Kupchan. The 2026 report drops on Monday, January 5.Before looking forward, though, it’s worth looking back. Here’s how the 2025 Top Risks report [...]
US President Donald Trump announces tariffs on US trading partners at the White House in Washington, DC, USA, on April 2, 2025.

US President Donald Trump arrives to announce reciprocal tariffs against US trading partners in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, DC, USA, on April 2, 2025.

POOL via CNP/INSTARimages.com
As GZERO readers will be all too aware, 2025 has been a hefty year for geopolitics. US President Donald Trump’s return to office has rocked global alliances, conflicts have raged from Khartoum to Kashmir, and new powers – both tangible and technological – have emerged.To put a bow on the year, GZERO highlights the biggest geopolitics stories of 2025. [...]