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The strategy gap in the Iran war

In this Quick Take, Ian Bremmer examines the stakes as the war in Iran enters its second month.
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This weekend, “No Kings” protests against the Trump administration occurred across the United States, drawing an estimated 8 million people across more than 3,300 events from the Alaskan Arctic to Puerto Rico. The movement is backed by a patchwork of progressive groups in the US.
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Hard number: Masterpieces, masterfully heisted

3 minutes: The amount of time police said it took four masked men to steal paintings by Renoir, Cézanne, and Matisse from a museum near Parma, Italy, earlier this month.

The crew that pulled off the daring heist at the Villa dei Capolavori made off with paintings worth more than $10 million.

Trump mulls next move in Iran, US allows Russian tanker to reach Cuba, Myanmar’s military coup leader set to become president

Donald Trump threatens to “take the oil” in Iran

The US president made the comments to the Financial Times on Sunday, just as hundreds of US Special Operations troops arrived in the Middle East ahead of a possible mission to seize Kharg Island, Iran’s main oil export hub. (As it happens, Trump has been thinking of doing this for nearly 40 years.) Trump is also weighing an operation to locate and remove nearly 1,000 pounds of Iran’s highly-enriched uranium, the heart of the country’s nuclear program. Either move would require a risky ground invasion, and Iran has pledged to set any US troops “on fire.” Still, Trump appeared to leave the door open to negotiations with Tehran, citing Iran’s decision to allow more oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as evidence that progress is being made. Markets are still worried – crude prices touched $116/barrel at one point on Monday, the highest level in four years.

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Gender gap in AI job displacement

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Speaking at the United Nations, Sarah Steinberg highlighted the disproportionate impact of AI on women in the workforce. One in three women works in a job "likely to be disrupted or significantly changed by AI compared to one in four men globally,” Steinberg said. At the same time, women account for only a third of those building AI skills, creating a skills gap that could limit access to emerging jobs.

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Is Trump losing control of the Iran war?

Ian Bremmer explains how the escalating war with Iran and shifting objectives are threatening America’s alliances and its domestic stability.

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How can artificial intelligence improve everyday life for citizens?

Speaking at the United Nations, Parvathaneni Harish highlighted India’s approach to digital public infrastructure. “Today in India, the cost of access to internet is the lowest in the world… and data usage per capita is one of the highest,” he said.

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Listen: Ian Bremmer and Rahm Emanuel discuss the deepening conflict in the Middle East, US foreign policy under Trump, and the upcoming midterms.

Emanuel argues that this is a war of choice, one President Trump made himself, not one driven by external pressures like Israel’s influence. While Benjamin Netanyahu has long pushed for military action, Emanuel stresses that the responsibility for war ultimately lies with the US president, not foreign actors. He also highlights how America’s fractured political system has complicated decision-making, making it harder for the US to act with a unified voice on the world stage.

Emanuel argues that Trump’s actions have eroded relationships with critical allies, particularly in Europe and the Gulf. “The price of belittling your allies is now coming home to roost,” Emanuel warns, pointing to the growing isolation the US faces at a time when global cooperation is needed most. He also discusses the broader implications of US military deployments in the region and the rising threat of Iran's growing influence.

Emanuel also addresses the internal division within the US, explaining how China is carefully watching America’s internal dysfunction. “Nothing China does scares me,” he says. “It’s what we don’t do here at home that scares me.”


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Looking ahead to 2028, Rahm Emanuel delivers a blunt assessment: “Being Democrats” could be the party’s biggest obstacle. He argues that past Democratic successes—President Kennedy, President Clinton, President Obama—followed a simple pattern: they addressed moral controversies head-on, spoke clearly on middle-class values and economics, and focused on the real concerns of the American people.

Emanuel points to current missteps, including the party’s preoccupation with social issues while 50% of kids cannot read at grade level. “What makes you think fourth grade’s going to get easier after third grade you can’t read?” he asks.

For Emanuel, Democrats must avoid getting trapped in cultural debates and instead “talk about a future we need to build that matters to everybody.” The path to victory isn’t reinventing the playbook—it’s learning from the three most successful Democratic presidents of the modern era.

As US-China tensions sharpen around Taiwan and great power competition, Rahm Emanuel argues Beijing’s view of the United States is more complex than simple rivalry. Chinese leaders see real American military capability—one they regard with a mix of “envy and respect”—but that’s not what ultimately shapes their strategy.

But the more decisive factor, he tells Ian Bremmer at the 92nd Street Y, is political. Beijing believes “America is divided at home and incapable of governing”—a weakness that could shape its calculus on whether the US would hold firm in a crisis.

For Emanuel, that internal fragility is the real risk. “Nothing China does scares me,” he says. “It’s what we don’t do here at home that scares me.”

The US is falling behind Ukraine in the race to build and deploy cutting-edge drone technology, and it’s the Pentagon’s fault, says Rahm Emanuel.

A year ago, Rahm Emanuel made a blunt recommendation: don’t ask Ukraine for mineral rights—ask for their drone technology. Now, that warning looks prescient. “They produce new drone technology every four weeks,” he tells Ian Bremmer on stage at the 92nd Street Y in NYC, while “the Pentagon can’t get an RFP out… in four years.”

On the battlefield, Ukraine is rapidly iterating in real time, turning combat lessons into new companies, software, and capabilities almost instantly. Meanwhile, Emanuel says, the US dismissed those innovations just months ago, insisting “we don’t need your technology.” Now, Washington is scrambling to catch up.

The result: a growing gap between the speed of modern warfare and the pace of American defense bureaucracy—and a missed opportunity that could reshape how future wars are fought.

From military strategy to political divides, Rahm Emanuel and Ian Bremmer break down the US troubled path toward the Iran war and domestic fractured politics.

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India rekindles old friendship to fill energy shortage

To fill the massive energy void from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Delhi has turned once again to an old friend: Moscow. Soon after the Iran war began, the US temporarily allowed India to buy more Russian crude, after spending the preceding six months urging them to stop. The two Soviet-era pals are now set to go further: the South Asian behemoth is reportedly preparing to buy Russian liquefied natural gas for the first time since the Kremlin began its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. What’s more, India will reportedly double its imports of Russian crude.

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Zimbabwe’s information minister said dozens of citizens were lured via social media by shadowy agencies promising lucrative jobs abroad, but ended up on the front lines. The country is ramping up diplomatic efforts to bring home more than 60 people they believe are still fighting for Russia. Zimbabwe isn’t alone; Other African countries, like South Africa, have said their citizens were recruited to Russia under the pretense of security training.


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